Knowledge-Driven Target Trajectory Prediction Method for BVR Air Game Mission

Aiming at the high-precision real-time prediction requirements of target trajectory prediction in beyond-visual-range (BVR) air game mission, this paper proposes a method driven by aeronautical domain knowledge of BVR game missions. The target historical intentions and maneuvers are identified based on 2 different time windows respectively. Considering that the target's intention in the BVR game missions does not change drastically in a short time, the future maneuvers are predicted based on the historical intentions and maneuver identification results, and then the predicted future maneuver information is used to assist in realizing target trajectory prediction by long short-term memory (LSTM) neural network. The proposed method was tested based on BVR game mission data collected in a highly realistic simulation environment. The results showed that the method has high prediction accuracy and real-time performance.

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Publication Details

Published
2024-11-01
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1109/cac63892.2024.10864817
Primary Topic
Air Traffic Management and Optimization
Type
article
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Knowledge-Driven Target Trajectory Prediction Method for BVR Air Game Mission

Jingqi Tu, Minmin Wu, Yiqun Dong, Xinlong Ye et al.
Air Traffic Management and Optimization
article

Knowledge-Driven Target Trajectory Prediction Method for BVR Air Game Mission

Jingqi Tu, Minmin Wu, Yiqun Dong, Xinlong Ye, Fu Yuan, Xizhong Yang
article en

Abstract

Aiming at the high-precision real-time prediction requirements of target trajectory prediction in beyond-visual-range (BVR) air game mission, this paper proposes a method driven by aeronautical domain knowledge of BVR game missions. The target historical intentions and maneuvers are identified based on 2 different time windows respectively. Considering that the target's intention in the BVR game missions does not change drastically in a short time, the future maneuvers are predicted based on the historical intentions and maneuver identification results, and then the predicted future maneuver information is used to assist in realizing target trajectory prediction by long short-term memory (LSTM) neural network. The proposed method was tested based on BVR game mission data collected in a highly realistic simulation environment. The results showed that the method has high prediction accuracy and real-time performance.

Fudan University (CN), Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics (CN)
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Openalex Percentile: Top 55%
Air Traffic Management and Optimization
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