Carbon Prognosticator: A Triple Ensemble Regressor and SHAP Analysis for Enhanced CO<sub>2</sub> Emission Modeling

Tracking carbon emissions from both vehicles and humans is crucial for understanding and mitigating climate change. Accurate prediction models are essential to address the diverse nature of carbon emission datasets. An ensemble regression model combining Random Forest, CatBoost, and Deep Neural Networks has been proposed to effectively handle various types of datasets. Evaluations showed that the model achieved an <tex xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink">$\mathrm{R}^{2}$</tex> score of 99.717% on the CO2 Emission (Vehicles) dataset with a 70–30 train-test split and an <tex xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink">$\mathrm{R}^{2}$</tex> score of 98.425% on the Carbon Footprint (Humans) dataset with an 80–20 split. These results underscore the model's capability to provide robust and accurate predictions across different carbon emission contexts, enhancing environmental analytics.

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Published
2024-12-12
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1109/icuis64676.2024.10866584
Primary Topic
Atmospheric and Environmental Gas Dynamics
Type
article
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Carbon Prognosticator: A Triple Ensemble Regressor and SHAP Analysis for Enhanced CO2 Emission Modeling

Angelina George, T. M. Mohan Kumar
Atmospheric and Environmental Gas Dynamics
article

Carbon Prognosticator: A Triple Ensemble Regressor and SHAP Analysis for Enhanced CO2 Emission Modeling

Angelina George, T. M. Mohan Kumar
article en

Abstract

Tracking carbon emissions from both vehicles and humans is crucial for understanding and mitigating climate change. Accurate prediction models are essential to address the diverse nature of carbon emission datasets. An ensemble regression model combining Random Forest, CatBoost, and Deep Neural Networks has been proposed to effectively handle various types of datasets. Evaluations showed that the model achieved an <tex xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink">$\mathrm{R}^{2}$</tex> score of 99.717% on the CO2 Emission (Vehicles) dataset with a 70–30 train-test split and an <tex xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink">$\mathrm{R}^{2}$</tex> score of 98.425% on the Carbon Footprint (Humans) dataset with an 80–20 split. These results underscore the model's capability to provide robust and accurate predictions across different carbon emission contexts, enhancing environmental analytics.

Amrita Vishwa Vidyapeetham (IN)
Openalex Percentile: Top 77%
Atmospheric and Environmental Gas Dynamics
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