How does foreign economic policy uncertainty affect domestic analyst earnings forecasts?

This study examines the impact of foreign economic policy uncertainty (EPU) on the performance of domestic analyst earnings forecasts. We separately analyze how U.S. EPU affects the accuracy of analyst earnings forecasts in other markets and the reverse relationship. Our findings indicate that the U.S. EPU (non-U.S. Global EPU) negatively (positively) affects the accuracy of analyst earnings forecasts in other economies (the U.S.). We find that the economic dependency of a given economy on the U.S. (capital flow to the U.S.) is a channel for this negative (positive) impact. Our results remain robust after controlling for a comprehensive set of variables.

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Publication Details

Journal
Global Finance Journal
Published
2025-02-12
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gfj.2025.101087
Primary Topic
Market Dynamics and Volatility
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00

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article

How does foreign economic policy uncertainty affect domestic analyst earnings forecasts?

Jian Song, Xiaozhou Zhou
Global Finance Journal
Market Dynamics and Volatility
article

How does foreign economic policy uncertainty affect domestic analyst earnings forecasts?

Jian Song, Xiaozhou Zhou
article en

Abstract

This study examines the impact of foreign economic policy uncertainty (EPU) on the performance of domestic analyst earnings forecasts. We separately analyze how U.S. EPU affects the accuracy of analyst earnings forecasts in other markets and the reverse relationship. Our findings indicate that the U.S. EPU (non-U.S. Global EPU) negatively (positively) affects the accuracy of analyst earnings forecasts in other economies (the U.S.). We find that the economic dependency of a given economy on the U.S. (capital flow to the U.S.) is a channel for this negative (positive) impact. Our results remain robust after controlling for a comprehensive set of variables.

Global Finance JournalVol. 65
Université du Québec à Montréal (CA), Curtin University (AU)
National Natural Science Foundation of China
Decent work and economic growth
Openalex Percentile: Top 96%
Market Dynamics and Volatility
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