Steering drilling wellbore trajectory prediction based on the NOA-LSTM-FCNN method

Aiming at the problem that it is difficult to accurately predict wellbore trajectory under complex geological conditions, the NOA-LSTM-FCNN prediction method for steering drilling wellbore trajectory is proposed by combining NOA, LSTM and FCNN. This method adopts LSTM layer to receive input data and capture long-term dependencies within the data, extracting important information. The FCNN layer performs nonlinear mapping on the output of the LSTM layer and further extracts relevant features to enhance prediction accuracy. NOA is employed for hyperparameter optimization of the LSTM-FCNN model. The experimental results show that the prediction effect of the proposed method is better than that of other methods. Taking the prediction results of the well deviation angle of H21 as an example, compared with traditional machine learning methods (LR, SVM and BP) and deep learning methods (CNN, LSTM and GRU), the evaluation index R² of this method was improved by 0.17887, 0.03129, 0.0259, 0.00054, 0.00032 and 0.00031 respectively, showing significant prediction accuracy advantages and strong adaptability. In addition, it applies to various types of wellbore trajectory data, effectively enhancing wellbore trajectory prediction capabilities under complex geological conditions.

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Publication Details

Journal
Scientific Reports
Published
2025-02-12
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-025-89826-z
Citations
3
Primary Topic
Drilling and Well Engineering
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
3.44

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article

Steering drilling wellbore trajectory prediction based on the NOA-LSTM-FCNN method

Fei Li, Yi Gao, Na Wang
3 citations
Scientific Reports
Drilling and Well Engineering
3.44
article

Steering drilling wellbore trajectory prediction based on the NOA-LSTM-FCNN method

Fei Li, Yi Gao, Na Wang
article en
3 citations

Abstract

Aiming at the problem that it is difficult to accurately predict wellbore trajectory under complex geological conditions, the NOA-LSTM-FCNN prediction method for steering drilling wellbore trajectory is proposed by combining NOA, LSTM and FCNN. This method adopts LSTM layer to receive input data and capture long-term dependencies within the data, extracting important information. The FCNN layer performs nonlinear mapping on the output of the LSTM layer and further extracts relevant features to enhance prediction accuracy. NOA is employed for hyperparameter optimization of the LSTM-FCNN model. The experimental results show that the prediction effect of the proposed method is better than that of other methods. Taking the prediction results of the well deviation angle of H21 as an example, compared with traditional machine learning methods (LR, SVM and BP) and deep learning methods (CNN, LSTM and GRU), the evaluation index R² of this method was improved by 0.17887, 0.03129, 0.0259, 0.00054, 0.00032 and 0.00031 respectively, showing significant prediction accuracy advantages and strong adaptability. In addition, it applies to various types of wellbore trajectory data, effectively enhancing wellbore trajectory prediction capabilities under complex geological conditions.

Scientific ReportsVol. 15(1)
Xi'an Shiyou University (CN)
National Natural Science Foundation of China, Xi'an Shiyou University, Natural Science Basic Research Program of Shaanxi Province
Climate action
Openalex Percentile: Top 10%
Drilling and Well Engineering
3.44
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Steering drilling wellbore trajectory prediction based on the NOA-LSTM-FCNN method — Fei Li, Yi Gao, et al. · Scientific Reports (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS