Can machine learning reduce volatility in electricity markets? Lessons from the economic calculation debate

Abstract The knowledge problem and volatility in electricity markets have long been central to policy debates in energy markets. This study examines the successes and limitations of machine learning in addressing these issues, contributing to the existing literature. Machine learning has shown promise in tackling specific technical aspects of power markets, but its shortcomings in forecasting customer behaviour and managing decentralised, renewable‐driven systems highlight the need for further refinement. While machine learning offers potential in reducing certain aspects of market volatility, it is not a comprehensive solution to the broader challenges faced by the electricity market.

Authors

Publication Details

Journal
Economic Affairs
Published
2025-02-01
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1111/ecaf.12686
Primary Topic
Energy Load and Power Forecasting
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00
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article

Can machine learning reduce volatility in electricity markets? Lessons from the economic calculation debate

Fuat Oğuz, Mustafa Çağrı Peker
Economic Affairs
Energy Load and Power Forecasting
article

Can machine learning reduce volatility in electricity markets? Lessons from the economic calculation debate

Fuat Oğuz, Mustafa Çağrı Peker
article en

Abstract

Abstract The knowledge problem and volatility in electricity markets have long been central to policy debates in energy markets. This study examines the successes and limitations of machine learning in addressing these issues, contributing to the existing literature. Machine learning has shown promise in tackling specific technical aspects of power markets, but its shortcomings in forecasting customer behaviour and managing decentralised, renewable‐driven systems highlight the need for further refinement. While machine learning offers potential in reducing certain aspects of market volatility, it is not a comprehensive solution to the broader challenges faced by the electricity market.

Economic AffairsVol. 45(1)
Openalex Percentile: Top 98%
Energy Load and Power Forecasting
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