Towards a holistic assessment of landslide susceptibility models: insights from the Central Eastern Alps

Abstract Statistical landslide susceptibility modelling is commonly used for identifying areas with an increased likelihood of landslide occurrence, given evidence of historic events and a potentially arbitrary number of explanatory features. Despite its widespread use, the actual utility and plausibility of the resulting models and maps is sometimes neglected at the expense of model performance. Here we present a landslide susceptibility map for the northern part of Carinthia, Austria, using random forest models within an extensive ensemble modelling and hyperparameter tuning framework. We discuss the importance and effects of the most relevant features retained after feature selection through a geomorphic lens. These results form the basis on a discussion of integrating considerations of geomorphic plausibility, model interpretability and reproducibility next to quantitative model performance metrics for assessing model utility. Including these aspects enhances the applicability of the results for decision-making in landslide risk management, thereby also increasing their reliability under scientific scrutiny.

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Publication Details

Journal
Environmental Earth Sciences
Published
2025-02-01
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/s12665-024-12041-y
Citations
11
Primary Topic
Landslides and related hazards
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
26.64

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article

Towards a holistic assessment of landslide susceptibility models: insights from the Central Eastern Alps

Raphael Spiekermann, Matthias Schlögl, Stefan Steger
11 citations
Environmental Earth Sciences
Landslides and related hazards
26.64
article

Towards a holistic assessment of landslide susceptibility models: insights from the Central Eastern Alps

Raphael Spiekermann, Matthias Schlögl, Stefan Steger
article en
11 citations

Abstract

Abstract Statistical landslide susceptibility modelling is commonly used for identifying areas with an increased likelihood of landslide occurrence, given evidence of historic events and a potentially arbitrary number of explanatory features. Despite its widespread use, the actual utility and plausibility of the resulting models and maps is sometimes neglected at the expense of model performance. Here we present a landslide susceptibility map for the northern part of Carinthia, Austria, using random forest models within an extensive ensemble modelling and hyperparameter tuning framework. We discuss the importance and effects of the most relevant features retained after feature selection through a geomorphic lens. These results form the basis on a discussion of integrating considerations of geomorphic plausibility, model interpretability and reproducibility next to quantitative model performance metrics for assessing model utility. Including these aspects enhances the applicability of the results for decision-making in landslide risk management, thereby also increasing their reliability under scientific scrutiny.

Environmental Earth SciencesVol. 84(4)
Central Institution for Meteorology and Geodynamics (AT), Institute of Geosphere Dynamics (RU), BOKU University (AT)
Österreichische Forschungsförderungsgesellschaft
Openalex Percentile: Top 0%
Landslides and related hazards
26.64
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Towards a holistic assessment of landslide susceptibility models: insights from the Central Eastern Alps — Raphael Spiekermann, Matthias Schlögl, et al. · Environmental Earth Sciences (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS