A Multi-Model Fusion Approach for Transformer Fault Detection

Addressing the weak generalization capability and suboptimal prediction performance of single mechanistic and data-driven models, this paper proposes a transformer fault detection method based on the fusion of mechanism and data models. Firstly, vibration and current data are collected on-site to train the SVM vibration model and the Adaboost current model. Secondly, current simulation data is obtained using laboratory simulation software. This simulation data, combined with the current data collected under the same conditions on-site, is used as input to train the GBDT error compensation model. Finally, these three models are used as inputs to the GRNN, completing the overall model design. This fusion of mechanistic and data-driven models not only addresses the parameter mismatch issue of the mechanistic model under complex working conditions but also deeply mines time-series data. Experimental results show that The mean squared error of the fusion model is 0.002 lower than that of the data model, and the coefficient of determination is improved by 5.07% compared to the mechanistic model, enhancing the overall predictive accuracy of the model.