Bootstrap unit root inference for linear processes of possibly heavy-tailed GARCH-type noises

Abstract.: Over the last 20 years, there has been an interest in unit root inference in the presence of infinite-variance noises. This article studies the unit root with errors being a short-memory linear process of the heavy-tailed GARCH noises with its tail-index, (Formula presented.), α = 2, and (Formula presented.). The limiting distribution of the Dickey-Fuller (DF) unit-root test is shown to be a functional of two stable processes when (Formula presented.) and a functional of a standard Brownian motion when (Formula presented.). Since the limit distribution contains some nuisance parameters, it is difficult, if not impossible, to be estimated. This is especially the case when (Formula presented.). To solve this problem, we propose an m-out-of-n centered residual-based block bootstrap (RBB), which is shown to have the same limit distribution as that of DF test and can be applied to both finite-variance and infinite-variance cases. Simulation studies and a real data analysis show that this RBB approach works well.

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Publication Details

Journal
Econometric Reviews
Published
2025-02-10
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1080/07474938.2025.2454424
Primary Topic
Financial Risk and Volatility Modeling
Type
article
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article

Bootstrap unit root inference for linear processes of possibly heavy-tailed GARCH-type noises

Shiqing Ling, Rongmao Zhang, Chor-yiu Sin
Econometric Reviews
Financial Risk and Volatility Modeling
article

Bootstrap unit root inference for linear processes of possibly heavy-tailed GARCH-type noises

Shiqing Ling, Rongmao Zhang, Chor-yiu Sin
article en

Abstract

Abstract.: Over the last 20 years, there has been an interest in unit root inference in the presence of infinite-variance noises. This article studies the unit root with errors being a short-memory linear process of the heavy-tailed GARCH noises with its tail-index, (Formula presented.), α = 2, and (Formula presented.). The limiting distribution of the Dickey-Fuller (DF) unit-root test is shown to be a functional of two stable processes when (Formula presented.) and a functional of a standard Brownian motion when (Formula presented.). Since the limit distribution contains some nuisance parameters, it is difficult, if not impossible, to be estimated. This is especially the case when (Formula presented.). To solve this problem, we propose an m-out-of-n centered residual-based block bootstrap (RBB), which is shown to have the same limit distribution as that of DF test and can be applied to both finite-variance and infinite-variance cases. Simulation studies and a real data analysis show that this RBB approach works well.

Econometric ReviewsVol. 44(6)
Hong Kong University of Science and Technology (HK), National Tsing Hua University (TW), Zhejiang Gongshang University (CN), University of Hong Kong (HK)
Openalex Percentile: Top 97%
Financial Risk and Volatility Modeling
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