Leveraging machine learning to predict factors that drive successful basketball team formation

This study delves deep into the key factors affecting the likelihood of NCAA basketball players getting drafted into the NBA. The study highlights the importance of offensive metrics such as points scored and offensive ratings in predicting an NCAA player’s chances of being drafted into the NBA by utilizing an unsupervised learning clustering model and a supervised decision tree model. This underscores the significance of offensive statistics in a player’s skill set and suggests that players and coaches should prioritize improving these metrics to enhance a player’s draft potential. The study found that defensive metrics like defensive ratings and blocks have less impact on overall draft potential than offensive metrics. A crucial point to note is that a team’s success often relies on having its top players actively participating on the court. This research enhances our understanding of the factors influencing the draft prospects of NCAA basketball players. It underscores the advancement of basketball analytics and paves the way for further research on player performance metrics and their influence on the scouting and selection of professional athletes.

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Publication Details

Published
2025-02-10
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1117/12.3056366
Primary Topic
Sports Analytics and Performance
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
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article

Leveraging machine learning to predict factors that drive successful basketball team formation

Ngoc Hoang Phan, Bum Jun Kwon, Mohamad El-Hajj, Mohammed Elmorsy et al.
Sports Analytics and Performance
article

Leveraging machine learning to predict factors that drive successful basketball team formation

Ngoc Hoang Phan, Bum Jun Kwon, Mohamad El-Hajj, Mohammed Elmorsy, John Steed, Victor Gore, Craeg Jethro Infante
article en

Abstract

This study delves deep into the key factors affecting the likelihood of NCAA basketball players getting drafted into the NBA. The study highlights the importance of offensive metrics such as points scored and offensive ratings in predicting an NCAA player’s chances of being drafted into the NBA by utilizing an unsupervised learning clustering model and a supervised decision tree model. This underscores the significance of offensive statistics in a player’s skill set and suggests that players and coaches should prioritize improving these metrics to enhance a player’s draft potential. The study found that defensive metrics like defensive ratings and blocks have less impact on overall draft potential than offensive metrics. A crucial point to note is that a team’s success often relies on having its top players actively participating on the court. This research enhances our understanding of the factors influencing the draft prospects of NCAA basketball players. It underscores the advancement of basketball analytics and paves the way for further research on player performance metrics and their influence on the scouting and selection of professional athletes.

MacEwan University (CA)
Openalex Percentile: Top 97%
Sports Analytics and Performance
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