Effect of Long-Term Fine Particulate Matter Exposure on Lung Cancer Incidence and Mortality in Chinese Nonsmokers
<b>Rationale:</b> The association between fine particulate matter (particulate matter ⩽2.5 μm in aerodynamic diameter, PM<sub>2.5</sub>) and lung cancer incidence in nonsmokers (LCINS) remains inconsistent. <b>Objectives:</b> To investigate the association between long-term PM<sub>2.5</sub> exposure and LCINS in a Chinese population and to assess the modifying effect of genetic factors. <b>Methods:</b> Time-dependent Cox proportional hazard models were used to evaluate the hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) of PM<sub>2.5</sub> with LCINS risk and LCINS-related mortality. The polygenic risk score was constructed to further explore the interactions between genetic risk and PM<sub>2.5</sub> exposure. In addition, the population attributable fraction of PM<sub>2.5</sub> to lung cancer risk and mortality was calculated. <b>Measurements and Main Results:</b> The results demonstrated significant associations between PM<sub>2.5</sub> exposure and LCINS incidence (HR, 1.10 per 10 μg/m<sup>3</sup>; 95% CI, 1.04-1.17 per 10 μg/m<sup>3</sup>) and mortality (HR, 1.17 per 10 μg/m<sup>3</sup>; 95% CI, 1.08-1.27 per 10 μg/m<sup>3</sup>). Compared with the lowest-risk group, individuals exposed to the high PM<sub>2.5</sub> concentration (⩾50.9 μg/m<sup>3</sup>) and high genetic risk (top 30%) exhibited the highest LCINS incidence (HR, 2.01; 95% CI, 1.39-2.87) and mortality (HR, 2.30; 95% CI, 1.38-3.82). A significant additive interaction between PM<sub>2.5</sub> and genetic risk on LCINS incidence was observed. Approximately 33.6% of LCINS cases and 48.5% of LCINS-related deaths in China could be prevented if PM<sub>2.5</sub> concentrations were reduced to meet World Health Organization guidelines. <b>Conclusions:</b> Long-term exposure to outdoor PM<sub>2.5</sub> increases LCINS risk and LCINS-related mortality, especially in populations with high genetic risk. Strengthening air pollution control measures in China has the potential to significantly reduce the burden of LCINS.
Authors
- Qiufen Sun (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9277-8298)
- Haidong Kan
- Ling Yang (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5750-6588)
- Jun Lv (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2337-9570)
- Yuanlin Mou (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4117-9660)
- Dianjianyi Sun (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3651-6693)
- Guangfu Jin (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0249-5337)
- Canqing Yu (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0019-0014)
- Zhibin Hu
- Yuting Han (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4868-3659)
- Huaidong Du (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9814-0049)
- Hongxia Ma
- Yiping Chen (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4973-0296)
- Liming Li (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5873-7089)
- Zhengming Chen (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9437-6452)
- Meng Zhu (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5122-1733)
- Ji Chen (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0009-0006-2851-3125)
- Xia Zhu (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1306-7808)
- Juncheng Dai (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4813-0168)
- Hongbing Shen
- Xia Meng
Institutions
- Ministry of Education of the People's Republic of China (CN)
- Peking University (CN)
- Fudan University (CN)
- National Health and Family Planning Commission (CN)
- Abisko Scientific Research Station (SE)
- University of Oxford (GB)
- Office of Readiness and Response (US)
- International Network for Cancer Treatment and Research (BE)
- Ministry of Education (KR)
- Faculty of Public Health (GB)
- Center for Global Health (US)
- Wuxi People's Hospital (CN)
- MRC Population Health Research Unit
- Nanjing Medical University (CN)
- Medical Research Council (GB)
Publication Details
- Journal
- American Journal of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine
- Published
- 2025-02-07
- DOI
- https://doi.org/10.1164/rccm.202408-1661oc
- Citations
- 11
- Primary Topic
- Air Quality and Health Impacts
- Type
- article
- Field-Weighted Citation Impact
- 13.20
Funders
- University of Oxford
- National Natural Science Foundation of China
- Ministry of Science and Technology of the People's Republic of China
- Government of Jiangsu Province
- Medical Research Council
- National Key Research and Development Program of China