Non-crossing vs. independent lead times in a lost-sales inventory system with compound Poisson demand

In this paper we provide an analysis of an inventory system with compound Poisson demand and a sequential supply system, specifically focusing on non-crossing lead times. The purpose is to facilitate a comparison with order crossing caused by independent lead times. We apply a new approach for modeling exogenous, non-crossing Erlang distributed lead times. It is assumed that the inventory is controlled by continuous review and a base-stock level. Any part of a customer demand which cannot be satisfied immediately from inventory is lost. Set-up costs are negligible and the relevant cost parameters for choosing the best base stock consist of the holding cost rate and a shortage cost per unit lost. We provide a proof that the long-run average total relevant cost is a convex function of the base stock. Hence, the base stock is easy to compute and it is optimal in the case of geometrically distributed customer demand sizes. For demand sizes which are not geometric, we suggest an approximation to specify the base stock. An approximation is also suggested for the case when the lead time is only specified by its mean and standard deviation (SD). Our numerical study shows that the average cost is very sensitive to the SD. This in sharp contrast to the complete insensitivity of SD in case of geometric demand sizes and independent lead times.

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Publication Details

Journal
European Journal of Operational Research
Published
2025-02-08
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ejor.2025.01.042
Primary Topic
Supply Chain and Inventory Management
Type
article
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article

Non-crossing vs. independent lead times in a lost-sales inventory system with compound Poisson demand

Anders Thorstenson, Søren Glud Johansen
European Journal of Operational Research
Supply Chain and Inventory Management
article

Non-crossing vs. independent lead times in a lost-sales inventory system with compound Poisson demand

Anders Thorstenson, Søren Glud Johansen
article en

Abstract

In this paper we provide an analysis of an inventory system with compound Poisson demand and a sequential supply system, specifically focusing on non-crossing lead times. The purpose is to facilitate a comparison with order crossing caused by independent lead times. We apply a new approach for modeling exogenous, non-crossing Erlang distributed lead times. It is assumed that the inventory is controlled by continuous review and a base-stock level. Any part of a customer demand which cannot be satisfied immediately from inventory is lost. Set-up costs are negligible and the relevant cost parameters for choosing the best base stock consist of the holding cost rate and a shortage cost per unit lost. We provide a proof that the long-run average total relevant cost is a convex function of the base stock. Hence, the base stock is easy to compute and it is optimal in the case of geometrically distributed customer demand sizes. For demand sizes which are not geometric, we suggest an approximation to specify the base stock. An approximation is also suggested for the case when the lead time is only specified by its mean and standard deviation (SD). Our numerical study shows that the average cost is very sensitive to the SD. This in sharp contrast to the complete insensitivity of SD in case of geometric demand sizes and independent lead times.

European Journal of Operational ResearchVol. 324(2)
Aarhus University (DK), Aarhus Business College (DK)
Openalex Percentile: Top 97%
Supply Chain and Inventory Management
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Non-crossing vs. independent lead times in a lost-sales inventory system with compound Poisson demand — Anders Thorstenson, Søren Glud Johansen · European Journal of Operational Research (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS