Reclassification of the conventional risk assessment for aging-related diseases by electrocardiogram-enabled biological age
An artificial intelligence (AI)-enabled electrocardiogram (ECG) model has been developed in a healthy adult population to predict ECG biological age (ECG-BA). This ECG-BA exhibited a robust correlation with chronological age (CA) in healthy adults and additionally significantly enhanced the prediction of aging-related diseases' onset in adults with subclinical diseases. The model showed particularly strong predictive power for cardiovascular and non-cardiovascular diseases such as stroke, coronary artery disease, peripheral arterial occlusive disease, myocardial infarction, Alzheimer's disease, osteoarthritis, and cancers. When combined with CA, ECG-BA improved diagnostic accuracy and risk classification by 21% over using CA alone, notably offering the greatest improvements in cancer prediction. The net reclassification improvement significantly reduced misclassification rates for disease onset predictions. This comprehensive study validates ECG-BA as an effective supplement to CA, advancing the precision of risk assessments for aging-related conditions and suggesting broad implications for enhancing preventive healthcare strategies, potentially leading to better patient outcomes.
Authors
- Chin-Yu Kuo (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1278-6584)
- I‐Chien Wu (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6916-8165)
- Chien‐Liang Liu (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2724-7199)
- Yu‐Feng Hu (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5715-2070)
- HSUAN‐MING TSAO (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2792-4927)
- Wan‐Ting Hsu (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6677-0951)
- Ming‐Jen Kuo
- Li-Lien Liao
- Chih‐Min Liu (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7235-273X)
- Pei‐Fen Chen (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5470-321X)
- Shih‐Ann Chen
Institutions
- National Yang Ming Chiao Tung University (TW)
- National Chung Hsing University (TW)
- National Health Research Institutes (TW)
- Taipei Veterans General Hospital (TW)
- National Yang Ming University Hospital (TW)
- Taichung Veterans General Hospital (TW)
- Institute of Biomedical Sciences, Academia Sinica (TW)
Publication Details
- Journal
- npj Aging
- Published
- 2025-02-06
- DOI
- https://doi.org/10.1038/s41514-025-00198-0
- Citations
- 2
- Primary Topic
- Heart Rate Variability and Autonomic Control
- Type
- article
- Field-Weighted Citation Impact
- 2.78
Funders
- Academia Sinica
- Shanghai Educational Development Foundation
- Ministry of Science and Technology, Taiwan
- National Health Research Institutes
- Taipei Veterans General Hospital
- National Science and Technology Council