Accelerating mosquito population replacement: a two-dimensional model with periodic release of Wolbachia-infected males

This study investigates strategies for accelerating mosquito population replacement through the periodic release of Wolbachia-infected male mosquitoes using a two-dimensional time-switching model. We obtain the existence and stability of periodic solutions within this framework and establish several sufficient conditions for eradicating wild mosquitoes by varying the release amounts of infected males. Our results indicate that accelerated replacement is feasible as long as the Wolbachia infection is favorable. Despite Wolbachia infection brings a fitness costs, effective population replacement can still be achieved if the release waiting time does not exceed a certain threshold and the release amount is sufficient to match or surpass the capacity of wild mosquitoes. However, when the release waiting time exceeds this threshold, we identify a continuous, unbounded curve that separates two boundary equilibrium points, with solutions originating from either side converging to their respective boundary equilibrium points. Numerical simulations are presented to validate our theoretical findings, highlighting the potential of this approach for effective mosquito population control.

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Publication Details

Journal
Advances in Continuous and Discrete Models
Published
2025-02-05
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1186/s13662-025-03907-x
Primary Topic
Insect symbiosis and bacterial influences
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00

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article

Accelerating mosquito population replacement: a two-dimensional model with periodic release of Wolbachia-infected males

Hongpeng Guo
Advances in Continuous and Discrete Models
Insect symbiosis and bacterial influences
article

Accelerating mosquito population replacement: a two-dimensional model with periodic release of Wolbachia-infected males

Hongpeng Guo
article en

Abstract

This study investigates strategies for accelerating mosquito population replacement through the periodic release of Wolbachia-infected male mosquitoes using a two-dimensional time-switching model. We obtain the existence and stability of periodic solutions within this framework and establish several sufficient conditions for eradicating wild mosquitoes by varying the release amounts of infected males. Our results indicate that accelerated replacement is feasible as long as the Wolbachia infection is favorable. Despite Wolbachia infection brings a fitness costs, effective population replacement can still be achieved if the release waiting time does not exceed a certain threshold and the release amount is sufficient to match or surpass the capacity of wild mosquitoes. However, when the release waiting time exceeds this threshold, we identify a continuous, unbounded curve that separates two boundary equilibrium points, with solutions originating from either side converging to their respective boundary equilibrium points. Numerical simulations are presented to validate our theoretical findings, highlighting the potential of this approach for effective mosquito population control.

Advances in Continuous and Discrete ModelsVol. 2025(1)
Guangzhou University (CN)
National Natural Science Foundation of China
Zero hunger
Openalex Percentile: Top 98%
Insect symbiosis and bacterial influences
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