Estimation of Near-Surface High Spatiotemporal Resolution Ozone Concentration in China Using Himawari-8 AOD

Near-surface ozone is a secondary pollutant, and its high concentrations pose significant risks to human and plant health. Based on an Extra Tree (ET) model, this study estimated near-surface ozone concentrations with the high spatiotemporal resolution based on Himawari-8 aerosol optical depth (AOD) data and meteorological variables from 1 January 2016 to 31 December 2020. The SHapley Additive exPlanation (SHAP) method was employed to evaluate the contribution of AOD and meteorological factors on ozone concentration. The results indicate that (1) the ET model achieves a sample-based cross-validation R2 of 0.75–0.87 and an RMSE (μg/m3) of 17.96–20.30. The coefficient of determination (R2) values of the model in spring, summer, autumn, and winter are 0.81, 0.80, 0.87, and 0.75, respectively. (2) Higher temperature and boundary layer heights were found to positively contribute to ozone concentration, whereas higher relative humidity exerted a negative influence. (3) From 11:00 to 15:00 (Beijing time, UTC+08:00), ozone concentration increases gradually, with the highest occurring in the summer, followed by spring. This study has obtained high spatial and temporal resolution ozone concentration data, offering valuable insights for the development of fine-scale ozone pollution prevention and control strategies.