Research on Short-term Electricity Demand Forecasting Based on Deep Learning Algorithms

This paper introduces an advanced short-term electricity demand forecasting model based on Recurrent Neural Networks (RNN) combined with Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) units. This hybrid model effectively captures the temporal dynamics in electricity consumption, incorporating features such as past energy use, temperature, humidity, and calendar variables. By utilizing a rolling prediction technique, the model addresses long-term prediction challenges and enhances accuracy. Extensive model evaluation shows a marked reduction in error metrics, including Mean Absolute Error and Root Mean Squared Error. The proposed method demonstrates significant potential for real-time energy demand forecasting, supporting grid optimization and energy management. This approach highlights the model's applicability in smart grid systems, providing more reliable predictions crucial for operational efficiency and sustainability.

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Publication Details

Published
2024-10-25
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1145/3707292.3707353
Primary Topic
Energy Load and Power Forecasting
Type
article
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article

Research on Short-term Electricity Demand Forecasting Based on Deep Learning Algorithms

Zhuoni Fan, Yuan Gao
Energy Load and Power Forecasting
article

Research on Short-term Electricity Demand Forecasting Based on Deep Learning Algorithms

Zhuoni Fan, Yuan Gao
article en

Abstract

This paper introduces an advanced short-term electricity demand forecasting model based on Recurrent Neural Networks (RNN) combined with Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) units. This hybrid model effectively captures the temporal dynamics in electricity consumption, incorporating features such as past energy use, temperature, humidity, and calendar variables. By utilizing a rolling prediction technique, the model addresses long-term prediction challenges and enhances accuracy. Extensive model evaluation shows a marked reduction in error metrics, including Mean Absolute Error and Root Mean Squared Error. The proposed method demonstrates significant potential for real-time energy demand forecasting, supporting grid optimization and energy management. This approach highlights the model's applicability in smart grid systems, providing more reliable predictions crucial for operational efficiency and sustainability.

Beijing Jiaotong University (CN)
Affordable and clean energy
Openalex Percentile: Top 76%
Energy Load and Power Forecasting
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