Quantitative Evaluation Method for Factors Affecting Electricity Fluctuations Based on Causal Testing and Regression Models

This paper analyzes the factors affecting electricity consumption and automatically diagnosing the causes of electricity fluctuations. Based on business requirements and data, by constructing characteristic indicators of different dimensions, we analyze the effect of influencing factors on electricity consumption, and the material library of electricity consumption fluctuation is formed. Then Granger causality test method and multiple linear regression algorithm and other algorithms are used to quantify the influence degree of influencing factors on electricity consumption, and to build an automatic analysis model for the causes of electricity consumption fluctuations. Finally, based on the proportion of impact on electricity consumption, the contribution rates of various factors to electricity fluctuations are evaluated, and the primary causes of electricity fluctuation are analyzed.