Inference for Parameters Identified by Conditional Moment Restrictions Using a Generalized Bierens Maximum Statistic

Abstract Many economic panel and dynamic models, such as rational behavior and Euler equations, imply that the parameters of interest are identified by conditional moment restrictions. We introduce a novel inference method without any prior information about which conditioning instruments are weak or irrelevant. Building on Bierens (1990), we propose penalized maximum statistics and combine bootstrap inference with model selection. Our method optimizes asymptotic power by solving a data-dependent max-min problem for tuning parameter selection. Extensive Monte Carlo experiments, based on an empirical example, demonstrate the extent to which our inference procedure is superior to those available in the literature. [C12, C36].

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Journal
The Review of Economics and Statistics
Published
2025-01-28
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1162/rest_a_01550
Primary Topic
Statistical Methods and Inference
Type
article
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article

Inference for Parameters Identified by Conditional Moment Restrictions Using a Generalized Bierens Maximum Statistic

Sokbae Lee, Xiaohong Chen, Myung Hwan Seo, Myung-Hyun Song
The Review of Economics and Statistics
Statistical Methods and Inference
article

Inference for Parameters Identified by Conditional Moment Restrictions Using a Generalized Bierens Maximum Statistic

Sokbae Lee, Xiaohong Chen, Myung Hwan Seo, Myung-Hyun Song
article en

Abstract

Abstract Many economic panel and dynamic models, such as rational behavior and Euler equations, imply that the parameters of interest are identified by conditional moment restrictions. We introduce a novel inference method without any prior information about which conditioning instruments are weak or irrelevant. Building on Bierens (1990), we propose penalized maximum statistics and combine bootstrap inference with model selection. Our method optimizes asymptotic power by solving a data-dependent max-min problem for tuning parameter selection. Extensive Monte Carlo experiments, based on an empirical example, demonstrate the extent to which our inference procedure is superior to those available in the literature. [C12, C36].

The Review of Economics and Statistics
Seoul National University (KR), Yale University (US), Institute of Economic Research of the Slovak Academy of Sciences (SK), Columbia University (US)
Openalex Percentile: Top 98%
Statistical Methods and Inference
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