Eliciting Time Preferences When Income and Consumption Vary: Theory, Validation, and Application to Job Search
We propose a simple method for eliciting individual time preferences without estimating utility functions even in settings where background consumption changes over time. It relies on eliciting preferences for receiving high stakes lottery tickets at different points in time. In a standard intertemporal choice model high rewards decouple lottery choices from variation in background consumption. We investigate robustness to other assumptions theoretically, and validate our elicitation method experimentally. We illustrate an application of our method with unemployed job seekers, which naturally have income/consumption variation. (JEL D12, D15, D91, G51, J22, J64)
Authors
- Philipp Kircher
- Michèle Bélot (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6953-1200)
- Paul Müller (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5790-7653)
Institutions
- Tinbergen Institute (NL)
- Cornell University (US)
- Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam (NL)
- UCLouvain (BE)
- University of Edinburgh (GB)
Publication Details
- Journal
- American Economic Journal Microeconomics
- Published
- 2025-01-29
- DOI
- https://doi.org/10.1257/mic.20220118
- Primary Topic
- Decision-Making and Behavioral Economics
- Type
- article
- Field-Weighted Citation Impact
- 0.00