Eliciting Time Preferences When Income and Consumption Vary: Theory, Validation, and Application to Job Search

We propose a simple method for eliciting individual time preferences without estimating utility functions even in settings where background consumption changes over time. It relies on eliciting preferences for receiving high stakes lottery tickets at different points in time. In a standard intertemporal choice model high rewards decouple lottery choices from variation in background consumption. We investigate robustness to other assumptions theoretically, and validate our elicitation method experimentally. We illustrate an application of our method with unemployed job seekers, which naturally have income/consumption variation. (JEL D12, D15, D91, G51, J22, J64)

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Publication Details

Journal
American Economic Journal Microeconomics
Published
2025-01-29
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1257/mic.20220118
Primary Topic
Decision-Making and Behavioral Economics
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
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article

Eliciting Time Preferences When Income and Consumption Vary: Theory, Validation, and Application to Job Search

Philipp Kircher, Michèle Bélot, Paul Müller
American Economic Journal Microeconomics
Decision-Making and Behavioral Economics
article

Eliciting Time Preferences When Income and Consumption Vary: Theory, Validation, and Application to Job Search

Philipp Kircher, Michèle Bélot, Paul Müller
article en

Abstract

We propose a simple method for eliciting individual time preferences without estimating utility functions even in settings where background consumption changes over time. It relies on eliciting preferences for receiving high stakes lottery tickets at different points in time. In a standard intertemporal choice model high rewards decouple lottery choices from variation in background consumption. We investigate robustness to other assumptions theoretically, and validate our elicitation method experimentally. We illustrate an application of our method with unemployed job seekers, which naturally have income/consumption variation. (JEL D12, D15, D91, G51, J22, J64)

American Economic Journal MicroeconomicsVol. 17(1)
Tinbergen Institute (NL), Cornell University (US), Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam (NL), UCLouvain (BE), University of Edinburgh (GB)
Openalex Percentile: Top 98%
Decision-Making and Behavioral Economics
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