Estimating Models of Supply and Demand: Instruments and Covariance Restrictions

We consider the identification of empirical models of supply and demand with imperfect competition. We show that a restriction on the covariance between unobserved demand and cost shocks can resolve endogeneity and identify the price parameter. We demonstrate how to employ this approach in estimation, and we compare it to the method of instrumental variables. Our formal results also indicate that weaker covariance restrictions can bound the price parameter. We illustrate the covariance restriction approach with applications to ready-to-eat cereal, cement, and airlines. (JEL C51, D12, L13, L61, L66, L93)

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Publication Details

Journal
American Economic Journal Microeconomics
Published
2025-01-29
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1257/mic.20230024
Citations
12
Primary Topic
Consumer Market Behavior and Pricing
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
4.15
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article

Estimating Models of Supply and Demand: Instruments and Covariance Restrictions

Alexander MacKay, Nathan H. Miller
12 citations
American Economic Journal Microeconomics
Consumer Market Behavior and Pricing
4.15
article

Estimating Models of Supply and Demand: Instruments and Covariance Restrictions

Alexander MacKay, Nathan H. Miller
article en
12 citations

Abstract

We consider the identification of empirical models of supply and demand with imperfect competition. We show that a restriction on the covariance between unobserved demand and cost shocks can resolve endogeneity and identify the price parameter. We demonstrate how to employ this approach in estimation, and we compare it to the method of instrumental variables. Our formal results also indicate that weaker covariance restrictions can bound the price parameter. We illustrate the covariance restriction approach with applications to ready-to-eat cereal, cement, and airlines. (JEL C51, D12, L13, L61, L66, L93)

American Economic Journal MicroeconomicsVol. 17(1)
Georgetown University (US), University of Virginia (US)
Openalex Percentile: Top 8%
Consumer Market Behavior and Pricing
4.15
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