Advanced Stock Price Prediction with xLSTM-Based Models: Improving Long-Term Forecasting

Stock price prediction has long been a critical area of research in financial modeling. The inherent complexity of financial markets, characterized by both short-term fluctuations and long-term trends, poses significant challenges in accurately capturing underlying patterns. While Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks have shown strong performance in short-term stock price prediction, they struggle with effectively modeling long-term dependencies. In this paper, we propose an advanced stock price prediction model based on the Extended Long Short-Term Memory (xLSTM) algorithm, designed to enhance predictive accuracy over both short and long-term periods. We conduct extensive experiments by building and evaluating models based on xLSTM and LSTM architectures for multiple stocks. Our results demonstrate that the xLSTM model consistently outperforms the LSTM model across all stocks and time horizons, with the performance gap widening as the prediction period extends. The observations underscore the superior capability of the xLSTM-based model to capture long-term patterns in financial data, offering a promising approach for more accurate and reliable stock price predictions.

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Publication Details

Published
2024-11-22
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1109/iscmi63661.2024.10851608
Citations
22
Primary Topic
Stock Market Forecasting Methods
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
10.79
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article

Advanced Stock Price Prediction with xLSTM-Based Models: Improving Long-Term Forecasting

Jianyu Zhao, Xiaojing Fan, Chunliang Tao
22 citations
Stock Market Forecasting Methods
10.79
article

Advanced Stock Price Prediction with xLSTM-Based Models: Improving Long-Term Forecasting

Jianyu Zhao, Xiaojing Fan, Chunliang Tao
article en
22 citations

Abstract

Stock price prediction has long been a critical area of research in financial modeling. The inherent complexity of financial markets, characterized by both short-term fluctuations and long-term trends, poses significant challenges in accurately capturing underlying patterns. While Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks have shown strong performance in short-term stock price prediction, they struggle with effectively modeling long-term dependencies. In this paper, we propose an advanced stock price prediction model based on the Extended Long Short-Term Memory (xLSTM) algorithm, designed to enhance predictive accuracy over both short and long-term periods. We conduct extensive experiments by building and evaluating models based on xLSTM and LSTM architectures for multiple stocks. Our results demonstrate that the xLSTM model consistently outperforms the LSTM model across all stocks and time horizons, with the performance gap widening as the prediction period extends. The observations underscore the superior capability of the xLSTM-based model to capture long-term patterns in financial data, offering a promising approach for more accurate and reliable stock price predictions.

City University of New York (US), New York University (US)
Openalex Percentile: Top 1%
Stock Market Forecasting Methods
10.79
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