How Populists Rally Around the People: Evidence from the Yellow Vests Movement Using an Embedding Regression Model

Abstract This research bridges populism and populist social movement studies to address the question of how left‐ and right‐wing populists unite in a common social movement. Using the novel “à la carte” (ALC) embedding regression model, it analyzes a unique dataset of 5,342 protesters and supporters from the Yellow Vests movement in France, capturing their understandings of the People from responses to open‐ended questions. Findings reveal that while left‐ and right‐wing populists diverge in their understandings of the People, differences are not politically divisive and do not preclude common vocabularies allowing for identification with the movement. This study contributes to the literature by showcasing the innovative application of the embedding regression method to textual data collected during social movements. Whereas research on the subject is predominantly qualitative, this study employs quantitative techniques to demonstrate that identification with the People fosters a unified movement despite divergent political beliefs and contrasting social identity frames.

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Publication Details

Journal
Swiss Political Science Review
Published
2025-01-27
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1111/spsr.12649
Primary Topic
Populism, Right-Wing Movements
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00

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article

How Populists Rally Around the People: Evidence from the Yellow Vests Movement Using an Embedding Regression Model

Frédéric Gonthier
Swiss Political Science Review
Populism, Right-Wing Movements
article

How Populists Rally Around the People: Evidence from the Yellow Vests Movement Using an Embedding Regression Model

Frédéric Gonthier
article en

Abstract

Abstract This research bridges populism and populist social movement studies to address the question of how left‐ and right‐wing populists unite in a common social movement. Using the novel “à la carte” (ALC) embedding regression model, it analyzes a unique dataset of 5,342 protesters and supporters from the Yellow Vests movement in France, capturing their understandings of the People from responses to open‐ended questions. Findings reveal that while left‐ and right‐wing populists diverge in their understandings of the People, differences are not politically divisive and do not preclude common vocabularies allowing for identification with the movement. This study contributes to the literature by showcasing the innovative application of the embedding regression method to textual data collected during social movements. Whereas research on the subject is predominantly qualitative, this study employs quantitative techniques to demonstrate that identification with the People fosters a unified movement despite divergent political beliefs and contrasting social identity frames.

Swiss Political Science ReviewVol. 31(3)
Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (FR), Institut d'Etudes Politiques de Paris (FR), Laboratoire Pacte (FR), Sciences Po Grenoble, Université Grenoble Alpes (FR)
Agence Nationale de la Recherche
Reduced inequalities
Openalex Percentile: Top 98%
Populism, Right-Wing Movements
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