The Impact of Unemployment Insurance and Unsecured Credit on Business Cycles

How does unsecured consumer credit impact the effectiveness of unemployment insurance (UI) in insuring households against idiosyncratic and aggregate risk over the business cycle? The answer depends on whether credit and UI act as complementary or substitutable forms of consumption insurance for households. Using a real business cycle model with frictional labor markets and defaultable debt, I find that unsecured credit amplifies the welfare gains of a policy that extends the duration of UI during recessions. UI extensions mitigate the rise in the default risk premium of unsecured credit during recessions, which allows households to better smooth consumption over the business cycle.

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Publication Details

Journal
Journal of Political Economy Macroeconomics
Published
2025-01-27
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1086/734998
Citations
1
Primary Topic
Labor market dynamics and wage inequality
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00
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article

The Impact of Unemployment Insurance and Unsecured Credit on Business Cycles

Michael D. Irwin
1 citations
Journal of Political Economy Macroeconomics
Labor market dynamics and wage inequality
article

The Impact of Unemployment Insurance and Unsecured Credit on Business Cycles

Michael D. Irwin
article en
1 citations

Abstract

How does unsecured consumer credit impact the effectiveness of unemployment insurance (UI) in insuring households against idiosyncratic and aggregate risk over the business cycle? The answer depends on whether credit and UI act as complementary or substitutable forms of consumption insurance for households. Using a real business cycle model with frictional labor markets and defaultable debt, I find that unsecured credit amplifies the welfare gains of a policy that extends the duration of UI during recessions. UI extensions mitigate the rise in the default risk premium of unsecured credit during recessions, which allows households to better smooth consumption over the business cycle.

Journal of Political Economy MacroeconomicsVol. 3(2)
Bank of Canada (CA)
Decent work and economic growth
Openalex Percentile: Top 98%
Labor market dynamics and wage inequality
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