Land system changes of terrestrial tipping elements on Earth under global climate pledges: 2000–2100

Tipping elements on Earth are components that undergo rapid and irreversible changes when climate change reaches a tipping point. They are highly sensitive to climate variations and serve as early warning signs of global change. Human activities, including global climate pledges, significantly influence the climate and the state of tipping elements. Land changes serve as the external and intuitive response of tipping elements to climate change, making it essential to identify shifts in the land system. We produced a 1-km land system dataset for terrestrial tipping elements on Earth for the years 2000, 2010, 2020, and 2100 under global climate pledges by integrating the GCAM with a modified version of CLUMondo. Our dataset includes 30 thematic categories, combining three density types and ten land cover types. The dataset illustrates potential land system changes under global climate pledges, contrasting with common SSP and RCP scenarios. Our simulations demonstrate high accuracy, offering valuable insights into tipping elements and the assessment of the impacts of global climate pledges on Earth.

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Publication Details

Journal
Scientific Data
Published
2025-01-27
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41597-025-04444-8
Citations
4
Primary Topic
Ecosystem dynamics and resilience
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
4.42

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article

Land system changes of terrestrial tipping elements on Earth under global climate pledges: 2000–2100

Sijing Ye, Yifan Gao, Peichao Gao, Li Chen et al.
4 citations
Scientific Data
Ecosystem dynamics and resilience
4.42
article

Land system changes of terrestrial tipping elements on Earth under global climate pledges: 2000–2100

Sijing Ye, Yifan Gao, Peichao Gao, Li Chen, Changqing Song, Jiaying Lv
article en
4 citations

Abstract

Tipping elements on Earth are components that undergo rapid and irreversible changes when climate change reaches a tipping point. They are highly sensitive to climate variations and serve as early warning signs of global change. Human activities, including global climate pledges, significantly influence the climate and the state of tipping elements. Land changes serve as the external and intuitive response of tipping elements to climate change, making it essential to identify shifts in the land system. We produced a 1-km land system dataset for terrestrial tipping elements on Earth for the years 2000, 2010, 2020, and 2100 under global climate pledges by integrating the GCAM with a modified version of CLUMondo. Our dataset includes 30 thematic categories, combining three density types and ten land cover types. The dataset illustrates potential land system changes under global climate pledges, contrasting with common SSP and RCP scenarios. Our simulations demonstrate high accuracy, offering valuable insights into tipping elements and the assessment of the impacts of global climate pledges on Earth.

Scientific DataVol. 12(1)
Beijing Normal University (CN)
National Natural Science Foundation of China
Climate action
Openalex Percentile: Top 7%
Ecosystem dynamics and resilience
4.42
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