PRESENT TRENDS IN AIR TEMPERATURE IN THE EAST OF KAZAKHSTAN

According to world research, over the past decades there has been a tendency for air temperature to rise and an increase in the frequency of extreme weather events. The study of the climatic predisposition of individual regions to extreme events, in particular fires, is an urgent problem of our time. The main purpose of this study was to define current trends in air temperature in Eastern Kazakhstan on an annual, seasonal and monthly scale. The non-parametric Mann-Kendall test and Sen’s slope estimation were used for the analysis, and the co-kriging method was used to interpolate the data to obtain areal distribution. As a result of the study, it was revealed that in most of Eastern Kazakhstan, there has been an increasing trend in average and maximum temperatures significantly. It was also noted that the main statistically significant changes are observed in the spring and summer seasons. Changes at some stations were reached from 0,2 to 1,0 °C in ten years. The most consistent and significant trends in temperature increase were recorded in March and April.