Gilded Connections: Unraveling the Relationship between Gold Prices and the Indian Stock Market

This study, "Gilded Connections: Unraveling the Relationship Between Gold Prices and the Indian Stock Market," delves into the dynamic relationship between the Nifty 50 index and Gold Futures over a 15-year period (April 2008 – June 2023). It explores whether gold functions purely as a safe-haven asset in times of stock market turbulence or if a deeper predictive link exists between these two financial indicators. Through a combination of stationarity tests, descriptive statistics, and time-series analysis techniques such as Vector Autoregression (VAR), this study uncovers key patterns in the interplay between gold price movements and Nifty 50 fluctuations. The results reveal a weak inverse correlation between the two, with Nifty exhibiting higher volatility and Gold offering stability during periods of economic uncertainty. The findings offer valuable insights into portfolio diversification, risk management, and the potential for gold to hedge against equity market risks. Overall, the study contributes to both theoretical understanding and practical applications for investors, traders, and policymakers in navigating market dynamics.

Authors

Publication Details

Journal
Economic Sciences.
Published
2025-01-27
DOI
https://doi.org/10.69889/t3js3z39
Primary Topic
Market Dynamics and Volatility
Type
article
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0.00
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article

Gilded Connections: Unraveling the Relationship between Gold Prices and the Indian Stock Market

Mr. Satyanath Mohapatra, Prof. Pragyan Parimita Sarangi, Bhabani Mallia
Economic Sciences.
Market Dynamics and Volatility
article

Gilded Connections: Unraveling the Relationship between Gold Prices and the Indian Stock Market

Mr. Satyanath Mohapatra, Prof. Pragyan Parimita Sarangi, Bhabani Mallia
article en

Abstract

This study, "Gilded Connections: Unraveling the Relationship Between Gold Prices and the Indian Stock Market," delves into the dynamic relationship between the Nifty 50 index and Gold Futures over a 15-year period (April 2008 – June 2023). It explores whether gold functions purely as a safe-haven asset in times of stock market turbulence or if a deeper predictive link exists between these two financial indicators. Through a combination of stationarity tests, descriptive statistics, and time-series analysis techniques such as Vector Autoregression (VAR), this study uncovers key patterns in the interplay between gold price movements and Nifty 50 fluctuations. The results reveal a weak inverse correlation between the two, with Nifty exhibiting higher volatility and Gold offering stability during periods of economic uncertainty. The findings offer valuable insights into portfolio diversification, risk management, and the potential for gold to hedge against equity market risks. Overall, the study contributes to both theoretical understanding and practical applications for investors, traders, and policymakers in navigating market dynamics.

Economic Sciences.Vol. 21(1)
Openalex Percentile: Top 98%
Market Dynamics and Volatility
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Gilded Connections: Unraveling the Relationship between Gold Prices and the Indian Stock Market — Mr. Satyanath Mohapatra, Prof. Pragyan Parimita Sarangi, et al. · Economic Sciences. (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS