Molecular HIV Surveillance: Beyond Cluster Detection and Response

There has been significant controversy surrounding the use of HIV sequence data to identify outbreaks of HIV transmission since the initiation of molecular HIV surveillance (MHS) in the US. The current approach to MHS is comprehensive cluster detection and response (CDR), in which clusters of related infections are identified and used as the basis for cluster-based or population-based interventions. With CDR, there are ethical and stigma concerns around the impingement of individual privacy, as well as legal concerns around the inference of transmission in regions where HIV criminalization laws and statutes exist. Here we propose an alternative approach to the analysis of HIV sequence and public health data that focuses on regions and populations rather than clusters, and still provides useful data for public health agencies.