Design of a photovoltaic performance prediction model using meteorological models and machine learning techniques

This study presents an advanced predictive model to estimate daily photovoltaic energy production using machine learning techniques. Artificial neural networks, support vector machines, and random forests were employed to capture complex relationships among meteorological variables such as solar radiation and temperature. The models were trained and evaluated using historical data, employing metrics like mean squared error and cross-validation techniques to ensure robustness and generalization of the results. Findings indicate that the implemented models effectively predict the performance of photovoltaic systems under diverse climatic conditions in the eastern region of Michoacán. This model not only enhances operational planning of solar installations but also facilitates more efficient integration of renewable energy into power grids. The results underscore the potential of photovoltaic technologies and the crucial role of artificial intelligence in transitioning towards more sustainable energy systems.

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Publication Details

Journal
Journal Mathematical and Quantitative Methods
Published
2024-12-31
DOI
https://doi.org/10.35429/jmqm.2024.8.14.5.7
Primary Topic
Energy Load and Power Forecasting
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00

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article

Design of a photovoltaic performance prediction model using meteorological models and machine learning techniques

Claudia Teresa González-Ramírez, Jhacer Kharen Ruiz-Garduño, Samuel Efrén Viñas-Álvarez, José Luis Martínez -Alcantar
Journal Mathematical and Quantitative Methods
Energy Load and Power Forecasting
article

Design of a photovoltaic performance prediction model using meteorological models and machine learning techniques

Claudia Teresa González-Ramírez, Jhacer Kharen Ruiz-Garduño, Samuel Efrén Viñas-Álvarez, José Luis Martínez -Alcantar
article en

Abstract

This study presents an advanced predictive model to estimate daily photovoltaic energy production using machine learning techniques. Artificial neural networks, support vector machines, and random forests were employed to capture complex relationships among meteorological variables such as solar radiation and temperature. The models were trained and evaluated using historical data, employing metrics like mean squared error and cross-validation techniques to ensure robustness and generalization of the results. Findings indicate that the implemented models effectively predict the performance of photovoltaic systems under diverse climatic conditions in the eastern region of Michoacán. This model not only enhances operational planning of solar installations but also facilitates more efficient integration of renewable energy into power grids. The results underscore the potential of photovoltaic technologies and the crucial role of artificial intelligence in transitioning towards more sustainable energy systems.

Journal Mathematical and Quantitative Methods
Tecnológico Nacional de México (MX)
Tecnológico Nacional de México
Openalex Percentile: Top 76%
Energy Load and Power Forecasting
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