Comparative Analysis of Machine Learning and Traditional Forecasting Methods in Bitcoin Price Prediction

In an era where digital currencies are becoming increasingly prevalent, accurately predicting the price fluctuations of cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin is crucial for investors and analysts alike. This paper delves into this challenge by comparing the efficacy of traditional time series forecasting methods against modern machine learning (ML) techniques. Utilizing a rich dataset that includes Bitcoin’s technical indicators and publicly accessible financial data, the study methodically assesses the predictive performance of each model. The results underscore the superior forecasting capabilities of ML algorithms, with the bestperforming model significantly outstripping traditional methods in accuracy. This advancement not only showcases the potential of ML in enhancing financial market predictions but also sets a new benchmark for future research in cryptocurrency price forecasting.

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Publication Details

Published
2024-11-26
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1109/bcca62388.2024.10844438
Citations
1
Primary Topic
Blockchain Technology Applications and Security
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.78
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Comparative Analysis of Machine Learning and Traditional Forecasting Methods in Bitcoin Price Prediction

Mohamed Rahouti, Fernando Martinez Lopez, Zhengxin Qi, David Hsu et al.
1 citations
Blockchain Technology Applications and Security
0.78
article

Comparative Analysis of Machine Learning and Traditional Forecasting Methods in Bitcoin Price Prediction

Mohamed Rahouti, Fernando Martinez Lopez, Zhengxin Qi, David Hsu, Diogo Oliveira, Ying Shen
article en
1 citations

Abstract

In an era where digital currencies are becoming increasingly prevalent, accurately predicting the price fluctuations of cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin is crucial for investors and analysts alike. This paper delves into this challenge by comparing the efficacy of traditional time series forecasting methods against modern machine learning (ML) techniques. Utilizing a rich dataset that includes Bitcoin’s technical indicators and publicly accessible financial data, the study methodically assesses the predictive performance of each model. The results underscore the superior forecasting capabilities of ML algorithms, with the bestperforming model significantly outstripping traditional methods in accuracy. This advancement not only showcases the potential of ML in enhancing financial market predictions but also sets a new benchmark for future research in cryptocurrency price forecasting.

Pennsylvania State University (US), Fordham University (US)
Openalex Percentile: Top 17%
Blockchain Technology Applications and Security
0.78
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Comparative Analysis of Machine Learning and Traditional Forecasting Methods in Bitcoin Price Prediction — Mohamed Rahouti, Fernando Martinez Lopez, et al. · (2024) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS