The environment–economic growth trade-off: does support for environmental protection depend on its economic consequences?

Belief in a trade-off between economic growth and environmental protection is an important feature of the politics of environmental policy. Yet the prevalence and consequences – for policy positions – of this belief are only indirectly examined in dominant treatments of public attitudes. We investigate belief in the existence of the trade-off directly. Those who believe more strongly in the trade-off express more moderate policy views. However, increasing belief in the existence of the trade-off via experimental manipulation yields null effects on policy positions. Appealing to the trade-off to justify prioritising growth may not provide a logical defense in the eyes of the public.