Revealing the zone of possible agreement between parties in conflict: An application to Israeli-Palestinian peace agreements

After Hamas' attack on 2023 October 7 and Israel's subsequent war, a pressing question is the nature of a postwar peace agreement. Peace negotiations often become deadlocked due to difficulties in identifying mutually advantageous agreements. A large-scale survey task and method is developed to identify the strength of preference for components of potential peace deals and changes to the status quo. Analyzing pre-October 7 representative samples of Israelis and Palestinians reveals a Zone of Possible Agreement, demonstrating shared preferences for deals that improve daily life. Violence exposure hampers compromise among Israelis, emphasizing the importance of abstaining from violence for conflict resolution.

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Publication Details

Journal
PNAS Nexus
Published
2024-12-23
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1093/pnasnexus/pgae581
Primary Topic
Terrorism, Counterterrorism, and Political Violence
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00

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article

Revealing the zone of possible agreement between parties in conflict: An application to Israeli-Palestinian peace agreements

Ben Groom, Elisa Cavatorta, Gilead Sher
PNAS Nexus
Terrorism, Counterterrorism, and Political Violence
article

Revealing the zone of possible agreement between parties in conflict: An application to Israeli-Palestinian peace agreements

Ben Groom, Elisa Cavatorta, Gilead Sher
article en

Abstract

After Hamas' attack on 2023 October 7 and Israel's subsequent war, a pressing question is the nature of a postwar peace agreement. Peace negotiations often become deadlocked due to difficulties in identifying mutually advantageous agreements. A large-scale survey task and method is developed to identify the strength of preference for components of potential peace deals and changes to the status quo. Analyzing pre-October 7 representative samples of Israelis and Palestinians reveals a Zone of Possible Agreement, demonstrating shared preferences for deals that improve daily life. Violence exposure hampers compromise among Israelis, emphasizing the importance of abstaining from violence for conflict resolution.

PNAS NexusVol. 4(1)
King's College London (GB), University of Exeter (GB), Rice University (US)
Yale University, London School of Economics and Political Science, King's College London, Monash University, University of Haifa, Universitat de Barcelona, Emirates Foundation
Peace, Justice and strong institutions
Openalex Percentile: Top 57%
Terrorism, Counterterrorism, and Political Violence
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