Artificial Neural Network and ARIMA model to estimate ICT sector investment, a comparative approach

The purpose of this research is to predict the required ICT sector for the time period leading up to ١٤٠٥. The ICT sector was predicted based on Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) and Artificial Neural Networks (ANN). The major difference between the results of the two models indicates the difference between these two methods in forecasting, and it was shown that the ARIMA model is not a suitable method for program-oriented forecasts because it is not possible to consider variables in its calculations like economic growth. On the other hand, the neural network method can provide a more reliable prediction due to the inclusion of the economic growth variable in the learning process.

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Publication Details

Published
2024-10-09
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1109/ist64061.2024.10843465
Primary Topic
Big Data and Business Intelligence
Type
article
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Artificial Neural Network and ARIMA model to estimate ICT sector investment, a comparative approach

Matin Sadat Borghei, Leila Mansourifar, Niloofar Moradhasel, Alireza Heidari
Big Data and Business Intelligence
article

Artificial Neural Network and ARIMA model to estimate ICT sector investment, a comparative approach

Matin Sadat Borghei, Leila Mansourifar, Niloofar Moradhasel, Alireza Heidari
article en

Abstract

The purpose of this research is to predict the required ICT sector for the time period leading up to ١٤٠٥. The ICT sector was predicted based on Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) and Artificial Neural Networks (ANN). The major difference between the results of the two models indicates the difference between these two methods in forecasting, and it was shown that the ARIMA model is not a suitable method for program-oriented forecasts because it is not possible to consider variables in its calculations like economic growth. On the other hand, the neural network method can provide a more reliable prediction due to the inclusion of the economic growth variable in the learning process.

ICT Research Institute (IR), Iran University of Science and Technology (IR)
Openalex Percentile: Top 59%
Big Data and Business Intelligence
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