An SDDP Algorithm for Multistage Stochastic Programs with Decision-Dependent Uncertainty

Stochastic programming provides mathematical models and algorithms for optimizing decisions under uncertainty. In formulating a stochastic program we typically assume that the probability distributions governing the random parameters are independent of the problem's decisions. Here, we study a multistage stochastic program with decision-dependent uncertainty. At each stage, binary decisions choose from a set of probability distributions and can increase the likelihood of favorable outcomes at a certain cost. We develop a variant of the stochastic dual dynamic programming (SDDP) algorithm to approximately solve this class of problems, using a convex relaxation of the algorithm's subproblems. This allows us to handle a type of large-scale multistage decision-dependent stochastic program, which was previously inaccessible. We provide computational results for a multi-product newsvendor problem with binary marketing options.

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Publication Details

Published
2024-12-15
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1109/wsc63780.2024.10838765
Citations
1
Primary Topic
Risk and Portfolio Optimization
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.49

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article

An SDDP Algorithm for Multistage Stochastic Programs with Decision-Dependent Uncertainty

David P. Morton, N. Arslan, Oscar Dowson
1 citations
Risk and Portfolio Optimization
0.49
article

An SDDP Algorithm for Multistage Stochastic Programs with Decision-Dependent Uncertainty

David P. Morton, N. Arslan, Oscar Dowson
article en
1 citations

Abstract

Stochastic programming provides mathematical models and algorithms for optimizing decisions under uncertainty. In formulating a stochastic program we typically assume that the probability distributions governing the random parameters are independent of the problem's decisions. Here, we study a multistage stochastic program with decision-dependent uncertainty. At each stage, binary decisions choose from a set of probability distributions and can increase the likelihood of favorable outcomes at a certain cost. We develop a variant of the stochastic dual dynamic programming (SDDP) algorithm to approximately solve this class of problems, using a convex relaxation of the algorithm's subproblems. This allows us to handle a type of large-scale multistage decision-dependent stochastic program, which was previously inaccessible. We provide computational results for a multi-product newsvendor problem with binary marketing options.

Northwestern University (US), Management Sciences (United States) (US)
U.S. Department of Homeland Security
Peace, Justice and strong institutions
Openalex Percentile: Top 27%
Risk and Portfolio Optimization
0.49
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An SDDP Algorithm for Multistage Stochastic Programs with Decision-Dependent Uncertainty — David P. Morton, N. Arslan, et al. · (2024) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS