Cloud-Model-Improved Transformer for Robust Load Prediction of Power Network Clusters

Load data from power network clusters indicates economic development in each area, crucial for predicting regional trends and guiding power enterprise decisions. The Transformer model, a leading method for load prediction, faces challenges modeling historical data due to variables like weather, events, festivals, and data volatility. To tackle this, the cloud model's fuzzy feature is utilized to manage uncertainties effectively. Presenting an innovative approach, the Cloud Model Improved Transformer (CMIT) method integrates the Transformer model with the cloud model utilizing the particle swarm optimization algorithm, with the aim of achieving robust and precise power load predictions. Through comparative experiments conducted on 31 real datasets within a power network cluster, it is demonstrated that CMIT significantly surpasses the Transformer model in terms of prediction accuracy, thereby highlighting its effectiveness in enhancing forecasting capabilities within the power network cluster sector.

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Publication Details

Published
2024-10-06
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1109/smc54092.2024.10831279
Primary Topic
Smart Grid and Power Systems
Type
article
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article

Cloud-Model-Improved Transformer for Robust Load Prediction of Power Network Clusters

Cheng Jiang, Di Wu, Gang Lu, Xue Ma
Smart Grid and Power Systems
article

Cloud-Model-Improved Transformer for Robust Load Prediction of Power Network Clusters

Cheng Jiang, Di Wu, Gang Lu, Xue Ma
article en

Abstract

Load data from power network clusters indicates economic development in each area, crucial for predicting regional trends and guiding power enterprise decisions. The Transformer model, a leading method for load prediction, faces challenges modeling historical data due to variables like weather, events, festivals, and data volatility. To tackle this, the cloud model's fuzzy feature is utilized to manage uncertainties effectively. Presenting an innovative approach, the Cloud Model Improved Transformer (CMIT) method integrates the Transformer model with the cloud model utilizing the particle swarm optimization algorithm, with the aim of achieving robust and precise power load predictions. Through comparative experiments conducted on 31 real datasets within a power network cluster, it is demonstrated that CMIT significantly surpasses the Transformer model in terms of prediction accuracy, thereby highlighting its effectiveness in enhancing forecasting capabilities within the power network cluster sector.

Chongqing Normal University (CN), Southwest University (CN), Energy Research Institute (CN)
Affordable and clean energy
Openalex Percentile: Top 76%
Smart Grid and Power Systems
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