Population Modeling of Bombus hypocrita sapporoensis under Climate Change Scenarios

The study on the impacts of climate change on Bombus hypocrita sapporoensis highlights how rising temperatures, precipitation, and humidity influence the distribution and activity of this bumblebee population across South Korea. Certain regions, such as Gangwon and Jeju, are projected to be more favorable for B. h. sapporoensis during the summer, while areas like Jeollanam-do and Gyeongsangnam-do may experience increased temperature variability that could negatively impact winter survival. Climate projections indicate that rising temperatures may increase summer activity and population growth in some areas. However, it could also reduce the overall population in other regions due to limited winter survival, with significant regional differences in habitat suitability. The model used in this study effectively predicted these changes, demonstrating strong accuracy by incorporating key climatic variables and simulating different scenarios, thereby providing valuable insights into future distribution patterns and challenges for B. h. sapporoensis in response to climate change