Identifying Optimal Window Size Configurations for Big Data Time Series Forecasting

Optimal window sizing in time series forecasting emerges as a pivotal factor for enhancing predictive accuracy, particularly in the volatile cryptocurrency market. While traditional models often rely on static window sizes, resulting in compromised forecasting performance, this research explores optimal window configurations across various market volatilities. By employing a hybrid Long Short-Term Memory and Gated Recurrent Unit (LSTM-GRU) model, the study systematically identifies the most effective window sizes for high, medium, and low volatility conditions. Results demonstrate that smaller windows are preferable in highly volatile environments to capture rapid market shifts, whereas larger windows are more suitable for stable conditions to incorporate a broader historical context. By identifying the predetermined optimal window sizes for each volatility segment, this study offers valuable insights for researchers aiming to enhance the adaptability and efficacy of predictive models. These results are especially useful for exploring dynamic window sizing techniques across various domains, particularly in fields where data volatility significantly impacts model performance.

Authors

Institutions

Publication Details

Published
2024-12-15
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1109/bigdata62323.2024.10825222
Primary Topic
Time Series Analysis and Forecasting
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00
Controls
|||
ALL TIME
JAN
FEB
MAR
APR
MAY
JUN
JUL
AUG
SEP
OCT
article

Identifying Optimal Window Size Configurations for Big Data Time Series Forecasting

David L. John, Bela Stantić, Sebastian Binnewies
Time Series Analysis and Forecasting
article

Identifying Optimal Window Size Configurations for Big Data Time Series Forecasting

David L. John, Bela Stantić, Sebastian Binnewies
article en

Abstract

Optimal window sizing in time series forecasting emerges as a pivotal factor for enhancing predictive accuracy, particularly in the volatile cryptocurrency market. While traditional models often rely on static window sizes, resulting in compromised forecasting performance, this research explores optimal window configurations across various market volatilities. By employing a hybrid Long Short-Term Memory and Gated Recurrent Unit (LSTM-GRU) model, the study systematically identifies the most effective window sizes for high, medium, and low volatility conditions. Results demonstrate that smaller windows are preferable in highly volatile environments to capture rapid market shifts, whereas larger windows are more suitable for stable conditions to incorporate a broader historical context. By identifying the predetermined optimal window sizes for each volatility segment, this study offers valuable insights for researchers aiming to enhance the adaptability and efficacy of predictive models. These results are especially useful for exploring dynamic window sizing techniques across various domains, particularly in fields where data volatility significantly impacts model performance.

Griffith University (AU)
Climate action
Openalex Percentile: Top 71%
Time Series Analysis and Forecasting
AI Navigator

Ask Laika to Summarize, Analyze, and Connect papers live on the map.

Summarize Papers & Methodologies

Extract key findings, datasets, and comparative methods across publications.

Benchmark Rankings & Visual Analytics

Rank top research institutions, authors, funders, topics, and journals by Field-Weighted Citation Impact (FWCI) and paper volume with instant charts.

Connect Distant Disciplines

Bridge topological clusters on the map to find hidden collaborative intersections.

Identifying Optimal Window Size Configurations for Big Data Time Series Forecasting — David L. John, Bela Stantić, et al. · (2024) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS