The study of the mortality characteristics of SARS-CoV-2 in the territory of the Russian Federation in 2020–2023 using the secondorder phase transition model

Coronovirus SARS­CoV­2 has become a serious test for the entire global community in 2020. Its appearance and high speed of spread forced the heathcare system to reorient itself. In our work we focused on studying the mortality data from COVID­19 in Russia in 2020­2023. The exponential mortality increase is considered from the point of view of a secondorder phase transition. Also, using the Hurst method, we searched for the presence of a trend in mortality rate from year to year. Additional criteria are proposed in making decisions on the introduction and removal of restrictive measures. The obtained results should help in solving epidemiological problems when faced with a new infectious agent.

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Publication Details

Journal
Journal Infectology
Published
2025-01-16
DOI
https://doi.org/10.22625/2072-6732-2024-16-4-85-90
Primary Topic
COVID-19 epidemiological studies
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
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article

The study of the mortality characteristics of SARS-CoV-2 in the territory of the Russian Federation in 2020–2023 using the secondorder phase transition model

N. V. Yuminova, Н. А. Контаров, Е. И. Долгова
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Journal Infectology
COVID-19 epidemiological studies
article

The study of the mortality characteristics of SARS-CoV-2 in the territory of the Russian Federation in 2020–2023 using the secondorder phase transition model

N. V. Yuminova, Н. А. Контаров, Е. И. Долгова
article en

Abstract

Coronovirus SARS­CoV­2 has become a serious test for the entire global community in 2020. Its appearance and high speed of spread forced the heathcare system to reorient itself. In our work we focused on studying the mortality data from COVID­19 in Russia in 2020­2023. The exponential mortality increase is considered from the point of view of a secondorder phase transition. Also, using the Hurst method, we searched for the presence of a trend in mortality rate from year to year. Additional criteria are proposed in making decisions on the introduction and removal of restrictive measures. The obtained results should help in solving epidemiological problems when faced with a new infectious agent.

Journal InfectologyVol. 16(4)
Research Institute of Vaccines and Sera. Mechnikov of the Russian Academy of Medical Sciences (RU)
Openalex Percentile: Top 99%
COVID-19 epidemiological studies
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