Global increase in the occurrence and impact of multiyear droughts
Persistent multiyear drought (MYD) events pose a growing threat to nature and humans in a changing climate. We identified and inventoried global MYDs by detecting spatiotemporally contiguous climatic anomalies, showing that MYDs have become drier, hotter, and led to increasingly diminished vegetation greenness. The global terrestrial land affected by MYDs has increased at a rate of 49,279 ± 14,771 square kilometers per year from 1980 to 2018. Temperate grasslands have exhibited the greatest declines in vegetation greenness during MYDs, whereas boreal and tropical forests have had comparably minor responses. With MYDs becoming more common, this global quantitative inventory of the occurrence, severity, trend, and impact of MYDs provides an important benchmark for facilitating more effective and collaborative preparedness toward mitigation of and adaptation to such extreme events.
Authors
- Pascal Buri
- Arthur Geßler (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1910-9589)
- Dirk Nikolaus Karger (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7770-6229)
- Philipp Brun (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2750-9793)
- Simone Fatichi (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1361-6659)
- Francesca Pellicciotti (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5554-8087)
- Michael McCarthy (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4138-0578)
- Benjamin David Stocker (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2697-9096)
- Liangzhi Chen (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1021-821X)
Institutions
- University of Bern (CH)
- Oeschger Centre for Climate Change Research (CH)
- Institute of Science and Technology Austria (AT)
- National University of Singapore (SG)
- Swiss Federal Institute for Forest, Snow and Landscape Research (CH)
- ETH Zurich (CH)
Publication Details
- Journal
- Science
- Published
- 2025-01-16
- DOI
- https://doi.org/10.1126/science.ado4245
- Citations
- 117
- Primary Topic
- Hydrology and Drought Analysis
- Type
- article
- Field-Weighted Citation Impact
- 129.32