Determinants of Enrolment Rate Decline in Higher Learning Institutions: A Case of the Tanzania Institute of Accountancy

The decline in the enrolment rate is not an uncommon trend in most higher learning institutions, and the reasons for this have never been common to all universities. This study contextually identifies the key determinants of enrolment rate decline for procurement and logistics management (PLM) programs in public higher learning institutions using the Tanzania Institute of Accountancy (TIA) as a case study. This study adopted a cross-sectional research design to collect empirical data from 302 respondents pursuing various programs offered by the institute, including Accountancy (ACC), Business Administration (BA), Marketing & Public Relations (MPR), Human Resource Management (HRM), and Public Sector Accounting and Finance (PSAF). Data were analysed using SPSS 24, where a multiple regression model was developed to determine the linear effects of the nine determinants of enrolment rate decline. The results show that the key determinants of enrolment decline include entry qualifications, lack of information about the PLM program, lack of passion for the PLM program, negative community myths, and lack of social support. Other determinants, such as students’ ambitions, lack of funds, lack of information about the labour market, and inadequate training facilities, have an insignificant influence on enrolment rate decline. This finding implies that information regarding the PLM program is very important. Therefore, it is important to disseminate information about the PLM program’s structure, cost, and duration to potential applicants.