Modeling of Oil Contamination Movement in the Area of the Western Coast of the Kaliningrad Peninsula

The relevance of the study is determined by the need to improve forecasting and assessment of oil contamination in the Southeastern Baltic area based on the application of mathematical modeling methods for environmental contamination processes in order to increase the safety level in case of accidents in water bodies. In the sphere of oil spills, the liquidation of consequences of emergencies, increasing efficiency, and the development of new localization methods and mechanical sampling using forecasting systems are prioritized. At the same time, the tendency to increase volumes of maritime transportation remains, which causes a high risk of environmental contamination from ships and cargo terminals classified as hazardous production facilities. The most important area of environmental protection in this sphere is forecasting the consequences of oil contamination and the development of protection measures based on its results. Notably, the Southeastern sector is the most contaminated area of the Baltic Sea with petroleum products. Therefore, the study's objective is to forecast the movement of oil spills and compare the obtained results with the earlier investigations in the Southeastern Baltic area based on the example of oil contamination in the Western part of the Kaliningrad (Sambi) Peninsula. For such purposes, a situational mathematical model of oil spills has been built using the Pisces II software and compared with the forecast results using the Seatrack Web software; emergency maps have been developed. Methods of georeferencing, numerical simulation modeling of oil spills, and decomposition of emergencies have been used.