Machine Learning and Forecasting Approaches for Predicting Natural Gas Consumption

This paper explores the application of machine learning (ML) and forecasting algorithms for predictive modeling of natural gas usage. The study investigates various methodologies to effectively predict natural gas consumption patterns, leveraging historical data and meteorological factors as predictors. Key ML techniques such as Bidirectional Long Short-Term Memory (BiLSTM), Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) and other forecasting techniques such as Facebook's Prophet, and the Holt-Winters Method (HWM) algorithm are employed in combined manner to develop accurate models capable of forecasting future gas demand. The results demonstrate the efficacy of these approaches in enhancing predictive accuracy, offering insights into optimizing resource allocation and energy management strategies. This research contributes to the advancement of predictive modeling in the energy sector, highlighting the potential for improving efficiency and sustainability in natural gas usage.

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Publication Details

Published
2024-10-16
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1109/ictc62082.2024.10826851
Primary Topic
Energy Load and Power Forecasting
Type
article
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article

Machine Learning and Forecasting Approaches for Predicting Natural Gas Consumption

Nematullo Rahmatov, Kwan Ho Seo, Hoki Baek, Ju‐Hyun Bae et al.
Energy Load and Power Forecasting
article

Machine Learning and Forecasting Approaches for Predicting Natural Gas Consumption

Nematullo Rahmatov, Kwan Ho Seo, Hoki Baek, Ju‐Hyun Bae, Jay Hyoun Kwon, Eun-Byeol Jo, Jiwoong Jeon, Hyerim Jeon
article en

Abstract

This paper explores the application of machine learning (ML) and forecasting algorithms for predictive modeling of natural gas usage. The study investigates various methodologies to effectively predict natural gas consumption patterns, leveraging historical data and meteorological factors as predictors. Key ML techniques such as Bidirectional Long Short-Term Memory (BiLSTM), Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) and other forecasting techniques such as Facebook's Prophet, and the Holt-Winters Method (HWM) algorithm are employed in combined manner to develop accurate models capable of forecasting future gas demand. The results demonstrate the efficacy of these approaches in enhancing predictive accuracy, offering insights into optimizing resource allocation and energy management strategies. This research contributes to the advancement of predictive modeling in the energy sector, highlighting the potential for improving efficiency and sustainability in natural gas usage.

Kyungpook National University (KR)
Openalex Percentile: Top 76%
Energy Load and Power Forecasting
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Machine Learning and Forecasting Approaches for Predicting Natural Gas Consumption — Nematullo Rahmatov, Kwan Ho Seo, et al. · (2024) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS