Boosting Solar Power Forecast Accuracy: Deep Learning and Explainable Artificial Intelligence Integration

Accurate forecasting of solar power generation is very important for integrating renewable energy into the smart grid and ensuring energy reliability. This study uses a Recurrent Neural Network structure to improve the accuracy of solar power generation forecasts. To improve the reliability and transparency of forecasts, the Local Interpretable Model-agnostic Explanation has been used as an Explainable Artificial Intelligence method. Model performance has been evaluated using common metrics such as Mean Square Error, Mean Absolute Error and Root Mean Squared Error. The application of Local Interpretable Model-agnostic Explanation has provided valuable insights into the model's decision-making process by identifying the meteorological features that are most effective in generating solar power. This integration of deep learning and Explainable Artificial Intelligence method not only achieved high forecast accuracy but also made the forecasts more reliable and transparent.

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Published
2024-10-16
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1109/asyu62119.2024.10757008
Primary Topic
Energy Load and Power Forecasting
Type
article
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article

Boosting Solar Power Forecast Accuracy: Deep Learning and Explainable Artificial Intelligence Integration

Umut Ozdemir, Murat Kuzlu, Gokcen Ozdemir
Energy Load and Power Forecasting
article

Boosting Solar Power Forecast Accuracy: Deep Learning and Explainable Artificial Intelligence Integration

Umut Ozdemir, Murat Kuzlu, Gokcen Ozdemir
article en

Abstract

Accurate forecasting of solar power generation is very important for integrating renewable energy into the smart grid and ensuring energy reliability. This study uses a Recurrent Neural Network structure to improve the accuracy of solar power generation forecasts. To improve the reliability and transparency of forecasts, the Local Interpretable Model-agnostic Explanation has been used as an Explainable Artificial Intelligence method. Model performance has been evaluated using common metrics such as Mean Square Error, Mean Absolute Error and Root Mean Squared Error. The application of Local Interpretable Model-agnostic Explanation has provided valuable insights into the model's decision-making process by identifying the meteorological features that are most effective in generating solar power. This integration of deep learning and Explainable Artificial Intelligence method not only achieved high forecast accuracy but also made the forecasts more reliable and transparent.

Old Dominion University (US), Erciyes University (TR)
Affordable and clean energy
Openalex Percentile: Top 76%
Energy Load and Power Forecasting
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Boosting Solar Power Forecast Accuracy: Deep Learning and Explainable Artificial Intelligence Integration — Umut Ozdemir, Murat Kuzlu, et al. · (2024) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS