Thai ruling party will face tough challenges in 2025

Significance Paetongtarn became premier in August, succeeding party colleague Srettha Thavisin, whom the Constitutional Court removed from office. Impacts The military will act against Thaksin if it believes he is closely involved in foreign policy and therefore matters of national security. If treaty ally Washington threatens increased tariffs, Bangkok will try to bargain by offering increased US access to Thai military bases. Higher US tariffs on China would potentially benefit Thailand by facilitating increased Thai exports to the United States.