Mathematical modelling of the impact of vaccination, treatment and media awareness on the hepatitis B epidemic in Burkina Faso

Infection with the hepatitis B virus (HBV) remains a global public health issue. Particularly in Burkina Faso, HBV is a major public health concern due to its high prevalence and associated mortality. However, universal vaccination, treatment of chronic carriers, and awareness campaigns are currently employed means in Burkina Faso to combat the spread of HBV. Therefore, this paper aims to study the impact of these control measures on the expansion of this virus. This paper presents a mathematical model of vertically transmitted HBV that takes into account the progression to chronicity as a function of the age of the infected person, as well as vaccination, treatment of chronic carriers, and media awareness. After formulating the model and carrying out the mathematical analysis, we simulated the proposed model in Matlab, taking into account the various involved parameters. Finally, we presented the results of sensitivity analysis and numerical simulation. According to our model, with vaccination coverage of $30\%$, a $50\%$ success rate of awareness campaigns and $20\%$ effectiveness for the $10\%$ of treated chronic carriers, the prevalence of hepatitis B infection could decrease down to $2\%$ within thirty years in Burkina Faso.

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Publication Details

Journal
Mathematical Modelling and Numerical Simulation with Applications
Published
2024-12-31
DOI
https://doi.org/10.53391/mmnsa.1528691
Citations
3
Primary Topic
Hepatitis B Virus Studies
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
1.16
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article

Mathematical modelling of the impact of vaccination, treatment and media awareness on the hepatitis B epidemic in Burkina Faso

Pegdwindé Ousséni Fabrice Ouédraogo, Fatima Aqel, Hamza Alaa, Wenddabo Olivier Sawadogo et al.
3 citations
Mathematical Modelling and Numerical Simulation with Applications
Hepatitis B Virus Studies
1.16
article

Mathematical modelling of the impact of vaccination, treatment and media awareness on the hepatitis B epidemic in Burkina Faso

Pegdwindé Ousséni Fabrice Ouédraogo, Fatima Aqel, Hamza Alaa, Wenddabo Olivier Sawadogo, Abdel Karim Sermé, Kounpiélimé Sosthène Somda, Adama Kiemtoré
article en
3 citations

Abstract

Infection with the hepatitis B virus (HBV) remains a global public health issue. Particularly in Burkina Faso, HBV is a major public health concern due to its high prevalence and associated mortality. However, universal vaccination, treatment of chronic carriers, and awareness campaigns are currently employed means in Burkina Faso to combat the spread of HBV. Therefore, this paper aims to study the impact of these control measures on the expansion of this virus. This paper presents a mathematical model of vertically transmitted HBV that takes into account the progression to chronicity as a function of the age of the infected person, as well as vaccination, treatment of chronic carriers, and media awareness. After formulating the model and carrying out the mathematical analysis, we simulated the proposed model in Matlab, taking into account the various involved parameters. Finally, we presented the results of sensitivity analysis and numerical simulation. According to our model, with vaccination coverage of $30\%$, a $50\%$ success rate of awareness campaigns and $20\%$ effectiveness for the $10\%$ of treated chronic carriers, the prevalence of hepatitis B infection could decrease down to $2\%$ within thirty years in Burkina Faso.

Mathematical Modelling and Numerical Simulation with ApplicationsVol. 4(5-Special Issue: ICAME'24)
Cadi Ayyad University (MA), Université Joseph Ki-Zerbo (BF), St. Thomas University (CA), Centre Hospitalier Universitaire Yalgado Ouédraogo (BF), Université Hassan 1er (MA)
Good health and well-being
Openalex Percentile: Top 18%
Hepatitis B Virus Studies
1.16
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