Active vs. passive policy and the trade-off between output and inflation in HANK

When fiscal policy is active and monetary policy is passive in a heterogeneous agent New Keynesian (HANK) model, deficit-financed transfers to low-asset households lead to similar cumulative inflation but greater increases in real output than transfers to wealthier households. I use the inverse of the “Phillips multiplier”, the price level sacrifice ratio, to quantify this dynamic. Household heterogeneity and targeted policy change the timing of output gaps, making this consistent with the Phillips Curve and rendering conventional sacrifice ratio intuition misleading for assessing the inflation/output trade-off between policies. • Targeted active fiscal transfers raise the price level as much as untargeted transfers. • Despite this, targeted active transfers generate more real GDP. • The cumulative sacrifice ratio of targeted transfers is much higher than that of untargeted transfers.

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Publication Details

Journal
Journal of Monetary Economics
Published
2025-01-10
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jmoneco.2025.103732
Primary Topic
Monetary Policy and Economic Impact
Type
article
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article

Active vs. passive policy and the trade-off between output and inflation in HANK

Noah Kwicklis
Journal of Monetary Economics
Monetary Policy and Economic Impact
article

Active vs. passive policy and the trade-off between output and inflation in HANK

Noah Kwicklis
article en

Abstract

When fiscal policy is active and monetary policy is passive in a heterogeneous agent New Keynesian (HANK) model, deficit-financed transfers to low-asset households lead to similar cumulative inflation but greater increases in real output than transfers to wealthier households. I use the inverse of the “Phillips multiplier”, the price level sacrifice ratio, to quantify this dynamic. Household heterogeneity and targeted policy change the timing of output gaps, making this consistent with the Phillips Curve and rendering conventional sacrifice ratio intuition misleading for assessing the inflation/output trade-off between policies. • Targeted active fiscal transfers raise the price level as much as untargeted transfers. • Despite this, targeted active transfers generate more real GDP. • The cumulative sacrifice ratio of targeted transfers is much higher than that of untargeted transfers.

Journal of Monetary EconomicsVol. 151
University of California, Los Angeles (US)
Decent work and economic growth
Openalex Percentile: Top 99%
Monetary Policy and Economic Impact
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Active vs. passive policy and the trade-off between output and inflation in HANK — Noah Kwicklis · Journal of Monetary Economics (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS