Fate mapping in mouse demonstrates early secretory differentiation directly from Lgr5+ intestinal stem cells

The intestinal epithelium has a remarkably high turnover in homeostasis. It remains unresolved how this is orchestrated at the cellular level and how the behavior of stem and progenitor cells ensures tissue maintenance. To address this, we combined quantitative fate mapping in three complementary mouse models with mathematical modeling and single-cell RNA sequencing. Our integrated approach generated a spatially and temporally defined model of crypt maintenance based on two cycling populations: stem cells at the crypt-bottom and transit-amplifying (TA) cells above them. Subsequently, we validated the predictions from the mathematical model, demonstrating that fate decisions between the secretory and absorptive lineages are made within the stem cell compartment, whereas TA cell divisions contribute specifically to the absorptive lineage. These quantitative insights provide further direct evidence for crypt-bottom stem cells as the dominant driver of the intestinal epithelium replenishment.