The climatic mass balance of glaciers on Franz Josef Land and Novaya Zemlya, 1991–2022

Abstract The Arctic is undergoing increased warming compared to the global mean, with major implications for the mass balance of glaciers. Direct observations of mass balance in the Russian Arctic are sparse and remotely sensed volume changes do not provide information about climatic drivers. Here, we present simulations of the climatic mass balance and meltwater runoff from glaciers in Franz Josef Land and Novaya Zemlya from 1991 to 2022. Based on simulations of glacier climatic mass balance over the period 1991–2022, we present a first detailed view of mass balance evolution in Franz Josef Land and Novaya Zemlya. The simulations are conducted at a 2.5 km resolution using the CryoGrid model forced by the Copernicus Arctic Regional ReAnalysis (CARRA) product. Over the 30 year simulation period, the climatic mass balance of both Franz Josef Land (0.21 m w.e. a −1 ) and Novaya Zemlya (0.07 m w.e. a −1 ) is positive on average without a significant trend in annual climatic mass balance. There is still a tendency towards more frequent high-melt years after 2010 and the associated glacier runoff has intensified with record melt years occurring during the model period.