Forecasting solar power generation with machine learning techniques

This study underscores the economic and environmental advantages of integrating solar energy into power systems. The unpredictable nature of solar power poses challenges to system operation and planning. To ensure the economic sustainability of newly constructed systems, precise forecasting of Photovoltaic (PV) system effectiveness and energy output is crucial. Addressing variations in solar power consumption, this work presents an enhanced Machine Learning (ML) model. Utilizing Python, the study explores Linear Regressor, Random Forest (RF) Regressor, XGBoost Regression, K-Nearest Neighbor (KNN) Regressor, and AdaBoost Regressor approaches, all proving effective in predicting electricity production. Results highlight the superior performance of ML algorithms over traditional time series methods and two baseline models, emphasizing their efficacy in solar power forecasting.

Publication Details

Journal
ARPN Journal of Engineering and Applied Sciences
Published
2024-12-31
DOI
https://doi.org/10.59018/112470
Primary Topic
Energy Load and Power Forecasting
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
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article

Forecasting solar power generation with machine learning techniques

ARPN Journal of Engineering and Applied Sciences
Energy Load and Power Forecasting
article

Forecasting solar power generation with machine learning techniques

article en

Abstract

This study underscores the economic and environmental advantages of integrating solar energy into power systems. The unpredictable nature of solar power poses challenges to system operation and planning. To ensure the economic sustainability of newly constructed systems, precise forecasting of Photovoltaic (PV) system effectiveness and energy output is crucial. Addressing variations in solar power consumption, this work presents an enhanced Machine Learning (ML) model. Utilizing Python, the study explores Linear Regressor, Random Forest (RF) Regressor, XGBoost Regression, K-Nearest Neighbor (KNN) Regressor, and AdaBoost Regressor approaches, all proving effective in predicting electricity production. Results highlight the superior performance of ML algorithms over traditional time series methods and two baseline models, emphasizing their efficacy in solar power forecasting.

ARPN Journal of Engineering and Applied Sciences
Responsible consumption and production
Openalex Percentile: Top 77%
Energy Load and Power Forecasting
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