Concurrent Heat Extremes in Relation to Global Warming, High Atmospheric Pressure and Low Soil Moisture in the Northern Hemisphere

Abstract Summer heat extremes increasingly co‐occur worldwide, posing disastrous impacts on our society and the environment. However, the spatial pattern and underlying mechanisms of concurrent heat extremes remain unclear. We used a statistical framework to estimate the spatial concurrence strength of heat extremes in the Northern Hemisphere and identified their relationships to global warming, atmospheric circulation, and land‐atmosphere feedbacks. Concurrent heat extremes over different regions have significantly increased in the Northern Hemisphere from 1950 to 2023. Moreover, heat extremes show strong spatial concurrence strength, and the driving factors vary geographically. Global warming is responsible for long‐term increases in the frequency and strength of concurrent heat extremes, with most pronounced impact in tropical regions. In the absence of warming trends, the temporal and spatial variations in concurrent heat extremes are mainly caused by simultaneous high atmospheric pressure controlled by large‐scale circulations, particularly in mid‐latitude regions. While low soil moisture enhances regional heat extremes through land‐atmosphere feedbacks, it plays a minor role in driving concurrent heat extremes alone but can contribute in combination with high‐pressure anomalies. Given the ever‐increasing risks of heat extremes, our study underscores the importance of identifying the mechanisms of spatially concurrent heat extremes to improve prediction and mitigation of widespread heatwaves and their adverse impacts on socio‐economic sustainability and human well‐being.

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Publication Details

Journal
Earth s Future
Published
2025-01-01
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1029/2024ef005256
Citations
10
Primary Topic
Climate variability and models
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
11.05

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article

Concurrent Heat Extremes in Relation to Global Warming, High Atmospheric Pressure and Low Soil Moisture in the Northern Hemisphere

Bofu Yu, Kai Kornhuber, Sha Zhou, Dalai Nasong
10 citations
Earth s Future
Climate variability and models
11.05
article

Concurrent Heat Extremes in Relation to Global Warming, High Atmospheric Pressure and Low Soil Moisture in the Northern Hemisphere

Bofu Yu, Kai Kornhuber, Sha Zhou, Dalai Nasong
article en
10 citations

Abstract

Abstract Summer heat extremes increasingly co‐occur worldwide, posing disastrous impacts on our society and the environment. However, the spatial pattern and underlying mechanisms of concurrent heat extremes remain unclear. We used a statistical framework to estimate the spatial concurrence strength of heat extremes in the Northern Hemisphere and identified their relationships to global warming, atmospheric circulation, and land‐atmosphere feedbacks. Concurrent heat extremes over different regions have significantly increased in the Northern Hemisphere from 1950 to 2023. Moreover, heat extremes show strong spatial concurrence strength, and the driving factors vary geographically. Global warming is responsible for long‐term increases in the frequency and strength of concurrent heat extremes, with most pronounced impact in tropical regions. In the absence of warming trends, the temporal and spatial variations in concurrent heat extremes are mainly caused by simultaneous high atmospheric pressure controlled by large‐scale circulations, particularly in mid‐latitude regions. While low soil moisture enhances regional heat extremes through land‐atmosphere feedbacks, it plays a minor role in driving concurrent heat extremes alone but can contribute in combination with high‐pressure anomalies. Given the ever‐increasing risks of heat extremes, our study underscores the importance of identifying the mechanisms of spatially concurrent heat extremes to improve prediction and mitigation of widespread heatwaves and their adverse impacts on socio‐economic sustainability and human well‐being.

Earth s FutureVol. 13(1)
Griffith University (AU), International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (AT), Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory (US), Beijing Normal University (CN), Climate Analytics (DE), Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (DE), Columbia University (US)
National Natural Science Foundation of China, Young Scientists Fund, National Key Research and Development Program of China, Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities
Life in Land
Openalex Percentile: Top 1%
Climate variability and models
11.05
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