Bridging System Dynamics and Causal Epidemiology: An Opportunity for Both Fields

ABSTRACT This paper examines the potential benefits of a deeper integration between system dynamics and causal inference as applied in epidemiology. We offer four suggestions for bridging these fields: two for what system dynamics can offer and two for what system dynamics stands to gain. First, we discuss the use of system dynamics to develop simulation models that emphasize feedback, (unobserved) dynamics, and multiscale interactions. Second, we note that the formalized participatory methods from system dynamics could help strengthen causal models in epidemiology. Third, we advocate for outlining and explicitly stating causal assumptions relevant to system dynamics research. Lastly, we suggest enhancing the causal structure of system dynamics models by triangulating participatory methods and literature review with data‐driven causal discovery. Through these suggestions, we envision the development of more credible and transparent causal models of complex health problems.

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Publication Details

Journal
System Dynamics Review
Published
2025-01-01
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1002/sdr.1799
Primary Topic
Complex Systems and Decision Making
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00

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article

Bridging System Dynamics and Causal Epidemiology: An Opportunity for Both Fields

Jeroen F. Uleman, Naja Hulvej Rod, Anne Petersen
System Dynamics Review
Complex Systems and Decision Making
article

Bridging System Dynamics and Causal Epidemiology: An Opportunity for Both Fields

Jeroen F. Uleman, Naja Hulvej Rod, Anne Petersen
article en

Abstract

ABSTRACT This paper examines the potential benefits of a deeper integration between system dynamics and causal inference as applied in epidemiology. We offer four suggestions for bridging these fields: two for what system dynamics can offer and two for what system dynamics stands to gain. First, we discuss the use of system dynamics to develop simulation models that emphasize feedback, (unobserved) dynamics, and multiscale interactions. Second, we note that the formalized participatory methods from system dynamics could help strengthen causal models in epidemiology. Third, we advocate for outlining and explicitly stating causal assumptions relevant to system dynamics research. Lastly, we suggest enhancing the causal structure of system dynamics models by triangulating participatory methods and literature review with data‐driven causal discovery. Through these suggestions, we envision the development of more credible and transparent causal models of complex health problems.

System Dynamics ReviewVol. 41(1)
University of Copenhagen (DK)
European Commission, ZonMw
Good health and well-being
Openalex Percentile: Top 100%
Complex Systems and Decision Making
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