Los Angeles Metropolitan Traffic Forecasting using Graph Neural Network
Traffic forecasting is critical for urban transportation management, particularly in large metropolitan areas where congestion is a persistent issue. In this paper, we propose a traffic forecasting model based on Graph Convolutional Networks (GCNs) to capture both spatial and temporal dependencies in traffic data. We utilize a dataset consisting of traffic flow information from 207 loop detectors deployed across the Los Angeles metropolitan highways, covering the period from March 2012 to June 2012. The proposed model, A3<tex xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink">$T$</tex>-GCN, is evaluated against three benchmark models: a standard Graph Neural Network (GNN), Long Short-Term Memory network (LSTM), and a simple Neural Network (NN). Our experimental results demonstrate that GCN-based models significantly outperform traditional methods. Specifically, the GNN achieves the lowest Mean Squared Error (MSE) Loss of 0.762, followed closely by A3T-GCN with 0.771. In contrast, the LSTM and NN models exhibit higher MSE losses of 0.835 and 0.848, respectively. These results highlight the effectiveness of GCNs in addressing the spatial-temporal complexities inherent in traffic forecasting tasks for urban planning.
Authors
- Chiwang Lin
- Z. Zha (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0009-0006-1135-5853)
Institutions
- National University of Ireland, Maynooth (IE)
- Columbia University (US)
Publication Details
- Published
- 2024-11-01
- DOI
- https://doi.org/10.1109/mlbdbi63974.2024.10823861
- Primary Topic
- Traffic Prediction and Management Techniques
- Type
- article
- Field-Weighted Citation Impact
- 0.00